// Roster Index›Heavyweight›Dossier · Shane Carwin
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNHEAVYWEIGHT

Shane
Carwin

NICKNAME"The Engineer"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
12-2-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Shane Carwin
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'8"
AGE
51
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
14 BOUTS
WIN
12
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
86%
12/14 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 67% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.38
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.60
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
47%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.53
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 50%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.42
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 0.72
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 30%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
42%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 50%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.00
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 64 rated fighters on the UFC heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#23
against the 64 rated on the UFC heavyweight roster · Elo 1572
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
70th
percentile · average opponent rated 1563 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
52nd
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.08 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 64% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 11, 2011

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 8
SUB · 4
8
KO/TKO
67%
4
SUB
33%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
50%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 8 fights
67%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
14 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER95TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING58CARDIO50AGGRESSION45SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY0
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Recovery.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power95
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=12 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (42%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=14 bouts
Striking58
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio50
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression45
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery0
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power95 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins12 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (42%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record14 bouts
Striking58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery0 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2005WOCT 2005WMAR 2006WAPR 2006WJUN 2006WJUN 2006WSEP 2007WOCT 2007WDEC 2007WMAY 2008WOCT 2008WMAR 2009WMAR 2010LJUL 2010LJUN 2011// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  15. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 86, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Slaton), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 86.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/14 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
57%
-
-
-
-
8
total
SUB
4
29%
1
7%
-
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
1
7%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 8 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
7%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
14 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 131 - Dos Santos vs. Carwin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Brock LesnarJul 3, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 2:19
UFC 116 - Lesnar vs. Carwin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Frank MirMar 27, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 3:48
UFC 111 - St. Pierre vs. Hardy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 1:09
UFC 96 - Jackson vs. Jardine
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Neil WainOct 18, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 1:31
UFC 89 - Bisping vs. Leben
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 0:44
UFC 84 - Ill Will
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 1:41
ROF 31 - Undisputed
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Rex RichardsOct 27, 2007
SubmissionR1 · 1:24
AOW - Art of War 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Rick SlatonSep 15, 2007
KO/TKOR1 · 0:49
ROF 30 - Domination
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Chris GuillenJun 24, 2006
SubmissionR1 · 0:29
UTS 6 - Ultimate Texas Showdown 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Justice SmithJun 3, 2006
KO/TKOR1 · 0:31
Extreme Wars 3 - Bay Area Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jay McCownApr 29, 2006
SubmissionR1 · 1:31
UTS 5 - Ultimate Texas Showdown 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Heavyweight. Professional record 12-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28