// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Shane Nelson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Shane
Nelson

NICKNAME"Sugar"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Shane Nelson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
41
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
23 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
70%
16/23 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 3-2
WWLLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.38
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
31%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.84
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.31
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
18%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
54%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#102
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1484
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1463 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
35th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.05 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 50% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 21, 2014

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 3
DEC · 8
5
KO/TKO
31%
3
SUB
19%
8
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
SUB · 1
DEC · 7
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
14%
7
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
31%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
19%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 19, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER45TD DEFENSE31GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING20CARDIO72AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT80STR DEFENSE69RECOVERY63
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power45
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense31
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (54%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=23 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat80
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense69
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (61%)

Recovery63
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense31 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record23 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat80 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense69 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Recovery63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2004WAUG 2004WSEP 2004WJAN 2005LJUL 2005LOCT 2005WNOV 2005LMAR 2006WJUN 2006WOCT 2006WMAR 2007WJUL 2007WOCT 2007WJAN 2008WDEC 2008WMAR 2009LAUG 2009LDEC 2009WMAR 2011LAPR 2011WAUG 2011WNOV 2011LFEB 2012LOCT 2012WJUN 2014// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2004, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 72, DEC R2.
  5. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 65, DEC R2.
  6. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 58, DEC R2.
  7. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 68, SUB R1.
  8. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  9. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 68, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 75, DEC R3.
  11. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  20. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  21. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 98, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  24. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  25. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Sarmiento), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
13%
2
8%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
2
8%
2
8%
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
3
13%
12
50%
-
-
15
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
63%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Kaleo KwanJun 21, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RWE - Just Scrap
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
L
VS Graham SpencerOct 26, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
MFC 35 - Explosive Encounter
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Takasuke KumeFeb 12, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 1:54
Shooto - Gig Central 24: Love and Courage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Lance WipfNov 4, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 2:15
SCC - Superior Cage Combat 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee Injury)
W
VS Aaron WetherspoonAug 19, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 1:33
SF 18 - Shark Fights 18
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
VS Elaina MaxwellApr 29, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Crowbar MMA - Spring Brawl 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jai BradneyMar 19, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 2:06
Nitro MMA - Nitro 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Matt WimanDec 12, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 107 - Penn vs. Sanchez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Aaron RileyAug 8, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 101 - Declaration
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Aaron RileyMar 7, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 0:44
UFC 96 - Jackson vs. Jardine
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punch)
W
VS George RoopDec 13, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 8 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Kaleo KwanJan 26, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
X-1 Events - Champions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 16-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28