// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Shannon Gugerty
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Shannon
Gugerty

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Shannon Gugerty
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
22 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
68%
15/22 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
LWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.25
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
39%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.88
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.13
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
27%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
3.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#101
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1485
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
32nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1532 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
35th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.04 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 53% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 19, 2010

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 10
5
KO/TKO
33%
10
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
14%
3
SUB
43%
3
DEC
43%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
67%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
22 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING67CHIN83STRIKING25CARDIO56AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling67
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=22 bouts
Striking25
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio56
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (3.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record22 bouts
Striking25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (3.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2004WJUL 2004WJAN 2005WJUL 2005LDEC 2005LMAR 2006WSEP 2006WNOV 2006WJUN 2007WJUN 2007WDEC 2007WMAR 2008WAPR 2008WJUL 2008LOCT 2008WJUL 2009LNOV 2009LMAR 2010LSEP 2010WNOV 2010WJUL 2011WOCT 2011LJUL 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 67, DEC R3.
  6. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 60, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 71, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 91, SUB R2.
  10. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  16. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  18. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  19. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 79, DEC R2.
  20. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  22. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  23. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Ruiz), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
22/22 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
23%
1
5%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
8
36%
4
18%
1
5%
-
-
13
total
DEC
-
1
5%
2
9%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 22 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
14%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
22 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Owen RoddyJul 21, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CC 14 - Salaverry vs. Opie
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ernie DavilaOct 22, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 3:59
DRFCF - Desert Rage Full Contact Fighting 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Cruz GomezJul 24, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 1:32
CA Fight Syndicate - The Uprising
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Roscoe JacksonNov 19, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 0:30
DRFCF - Desert Rage Full Contact Fighting 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Dennis BermudezSep 10, 2010
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Shine Fights 3 - 2010 Lightweight Grand Prix
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Clay GuidaMar 21, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 3:40
UFC Live 1 - Vera vs. Jones
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
L
VS Terry EtimNov 14, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 1:24
UFC 105 - Couture vs. Vera
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Matt GriceJul 11, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 2:36
UFC 100 - Lesnar vs. Mir 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Spencer FisherOct 25, 2008
SubmissionR3 · 3:56
UFC 90 - Silva vs. Cote
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Dale HarttJul 19, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 3:33
UFC Fight Night 14 - Silva vs. Irvin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Noah TedescoApr 26, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 4:04
DRFCF - Desert Rage Full Contact Fighting 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
W
VS Johnny TorresMar 22, 2008
SubmissionR2 · N/A
TC 27 - Total Combat 27
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28