// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Theodor Berggren
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Theodor
Berggren

NICKNAME"Simba"·SWEDEN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-4-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
VSRodrigo Sezinando
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
OCTOBER 31, 2026
Theodor Berggren
FIGHTER -
SWE🇸🇪
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
6'3"
AGE
26
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
8/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
LLWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 63% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.49
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
10.78
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
33%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 98 other rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#99
of 99 on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1458
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
11th
percentile · average opponent rated 1506 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
9th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.21 per fight)

5 rated fights · opponents rated in 42% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 27, 2026 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 3
5
KO/TKO
63%
3
SUB
38%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
25%
1
SUB
25%
2
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
63%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
38%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER89TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN78STRIKING33CARDIO54AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power89
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin78
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
Striking33
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio54
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (33%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power89 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
Striking33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (33%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2021WNOV 2021WFEB 2022LMAY 2022WDEC 2023WFEB 2024WJUN 2024WSEP 2024LNOV 2024LMAR 2025WOCT 2025WFEB 2026LJUN 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  5. Start, DEC 2023, momentum score 68, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, NOV 2024, momentum score 92, SUB R3.
  10. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 94, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, FEB 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2026, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Samedov), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
25%
2
17%
1
8%
-
-
6
total
SUB
3
25%
-
1
8%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
2
17%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
17%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Daniil DonchenkoJun 27, 2026
KO/TKOR2 · 1:35
UFC Fight Night 280 - Fiziev vs. Torres
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Abdulatip SamedovFeb 7, 2026
KO/TKOR3 · 2:20
FCR 27 - Fight Club Rush 27
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Daniele BattagliaOct 4, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 4:44
CW 195 - Cage Warriors 195: Rome
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Leonardo DamianiMar 29, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FCR 23 - Fight Club Rush 23
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Justin BurlinsonNov 23, 2024
SubmissionR3 · 2:44
CW 181 - Cage Warriors 181: Newcastle
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Moein AhmadiSep 7, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 1:36
FCR 21 - Fight Club Rush 21
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kristjan TonisteJun 1, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 2:35
FCR 20 - Fight Club Rush 20
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Giorgi KankavaFeb 24, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 0:00
BoB 9 - Berggren vs. Kankava
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Markus Maki-VentelaDec 9, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 0:00
BoB 8 - Stahl vs. Medvedovski
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Christian StigenbergMay 7, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FCR 12 - Fight Club Rush 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ebrima FaalFeb 26, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 0:00
FCR 11 - Fight Club Rush 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Tobias WallbergNov 20, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 1:36
FCR 10 - Fight Club Rush 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 8-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Theodor Berggren

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Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27