// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Thiago Oliveira
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Thiago
Oliveira

NICKNAME"Siriguela"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
1-1-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LOW SAMPLE
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
2 BOUTS
WIN
1
LOSS
1
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
1/2 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-2-1
W-WLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LOW SAMPLE
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with grappling at the core — 200% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.19
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.38
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.49
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
36%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
11%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#111
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1457
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
10th
percentile · average opponent rated 1511 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
12th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.27 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 14, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (1)
n = 1
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
2
KO/TKO
200%
2
SUB
200%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (1)
n = 1
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
100%
2
SUB
200%
3
DEC
300%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
200%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
200%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
10 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
SEP 18, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING72CHIN28STRIKING20CARDIO61AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT80STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY25
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=1 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (11%)

Grappling72
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin28
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=2 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat80
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery25
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins1 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (11%)Not recorded
Grappling72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record2 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat80 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2013WJUN 2013WNOV 2015LOCT 2019LOCT 2020LFEB 2023WFEB 2024JUN 2024WOCT 2024LMAR 2025LDEC 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  5. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 51, DEC R3.
  6. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 44, SUB R2.
  7. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 53, SUB R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 53, DEC R3.
  9. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 63, SUB R3.
  10. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 56, SUB R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2025, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 65 (W vs Rios), bottomed at 44 (L vs Kichigin). Current reading: 46.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
10/10 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
20%
1
10%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
2
20%
1
10%
1
10%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
3
30%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 10 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
30%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
10 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
KO/TKOR1 · 3:46
MMAU3 - MMA University 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Victor MorenoMar 28, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 3:43
Xtreme Fighting Championships - XFC 52: The Awakening
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jhonatan Nascimento SantanaOct 19, 2024
SubmissionR3 · 3:15
GVT 5 - Goiana Vale Tudo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
D
VS Adam AssenzaJun 8, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BTC 24 - Apex
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
SubmissionR1 · 3:53
FPC - Fight Parc Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Georgy KichiginFeb 19, 2023
SubmissionR2 · 1:27
Octagon Promotion - Octagon 41: Tolenov vs. Ibodiloev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Andrey AugustoOct 23, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
TAURA MMA - 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jon ManleyOct 25, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 231 - Mir vs. Nelson 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Sergio RiosNov 13, 2015
KO/TKOR2 · 2:19
Shooto Brazil 59 - Bahia
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Ronaldo Oliveira SilvaJun 1, 2013
KO/TKO— · 0:00
Lions FC 5 - Lions Fighting Championship 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 1-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28