// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Tim Welch
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Tim
Welch

NICKNAME"Red Hawk"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-6-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Tim Welch
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
AGE
36
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
20 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
70%
14/20 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
FINISHER

Finisher fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.20
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.65
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#84
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1501
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1484 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
58th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.10 per fight)

4 rated fights · opponents rated in 24% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 14, 2014 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 7
7
KO/TKO
50%
7
SUB
50%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
17%
3
SUB
50%
2
DEC
33%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
50%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
20 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 21, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER71TD DEFENSE49GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING54CARDIO51AGGRESSION27SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power71
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (62%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=20 bouts
Striking54
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio51
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression27
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record20 bouts
Striking54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2009WOCT 2009LOCT 2009WDEC 2009WMAY 2010LSEP 2010WDEC 2010WFEB 2011WMAR 2011LAPR 2011WAPR 2011WJUL 2011WMAR 2012LSEP 2012WNOV 2013LMAR 2014WAUG 2014WNOV 2014WJUN 2016WOCT 2016LAUG 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 47, KO/TKO R3.
  4. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  7. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 71, SUB R1.
  8. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  10. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 83, SUB R1.
  11. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 94, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  15. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  18. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Crisman), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
20/20 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
25%
2
10%
1
5%
-
-
8
total
SUB
7
35%
3
15%
-
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
2
10%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 20 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
10%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
20 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Dejan KajicAug 25, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 4:55
ICF 28 - Fights Under the Lights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Ryan SchectersonOct 21, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 0:40
ICF 26 - The Perfect Storm
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Billy MartinJun 25, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 2:59
Fusion Fight League - Grudgement Day
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kerry LattimerNov 14, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 0:47
ICF - Intense Championship Fighting 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Ran WeathersAug 22, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 2:18
ICF - Intense Championship Fighting 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Derek CamposMar 21, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 113
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Eric ReganNov 15, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 2:04
ICF - Fight Night 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Mikhail TsarevSep 28, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 1:57
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 74
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Chris EnsleyMar 23, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 1:34
ICF - Intense Cage Fighting 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kneebar)
W
VS Mike CrismanJul 15, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 0:37
ICF - Intense Cage Fighting 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Hollis HugginsApr 25, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 1:02
FightForce - Bozeman Impact 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Eddy EllisApr 23, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 2:11
CS - CageSport 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 14-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28