// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Tommy Espinosa
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFLYWEIGHT

Tommy
Espinosa

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
6-3-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Tommy Espinosa
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'6"
REACH
5'9"
AGE
36
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
9 BOUTS
WIN
6
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
6/9 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 83% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.22
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.94
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.75
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
70%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 60 rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#32
against the 60 rated on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1522
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
50th
percentile · average opponent rated 1531 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
37th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.05 per fight)

5 rated fights · opponents rated in 56% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 14, 2021

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 1
5
KO/TKO
83%
1
SUB
17%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
83%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
17%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
9 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE67GRAPPLING40CHIN75STRIKING64CARDIO58AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE60RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=6 wins
TD Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (70%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin75
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=9 bouts
Striking64
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio58
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=9 bouts
Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (57%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins6 wins
TD Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (70%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record9 bouts
Striking64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share9 bouts
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2017LFEB 2017WAPR 2017WMAY 2017WSEP 2017WOCT 2017WMAR 2018WOCT 2018LFEB 2019LMAY 2021// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  10. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 82, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 96 (W vs Aydarbekov), bottomed at 38 (L vs Caracappa). Current reading: 82.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
9/9 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
22%
4
44%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
1
11%
-
-
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
-
2
22%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 9 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
22%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
9 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Jerrell HodgeMay 14, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 4:48
OCL - Ohio Combat League 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
L
VS Andre BarqueroFeb 16, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CFFC 72 - Brady vs. Abdul-Hakim
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
W
VS Sukhrob AydarbekovOct 13, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 1:27
Bellator 208 - Fedor vs. Sonnen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS William ElliottMar 2, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 1:20
ROC 62 - Ring of Combat 62
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Eddie AlvarezOct 28, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
KOTC - Locked In
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
W
VS Federico VentoSep 30, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 3:36
Maverick MMA 3 - Heckman vs. Sullivan 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Christian MedinaMay 13, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 0:48
DSMMA - Dead Serious MMA Pro 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Gregory SaumenigApr 7, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 1:57
Maverick MMA 1 - Heckman vs. McCabe
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Phil CaracappaFeb 24, 2017
DecisionR3 · 4:00
ROC 58 - Ring of Combat 58
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 6-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-29