// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Tony Kelley
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNBANTAMWEIGHT

Tony
Kelley

NICKNAME"Primetime"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-3-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Tony Kelley
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
39
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
11 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
73%
8/11 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WLWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 38% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
5.55
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
47%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.85
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
45%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 103 rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#64
against the 103 rated on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1532
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
28th
percentile · average opponent rated 1529 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
46th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.03 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 73% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 18, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
3
KO/TKO
38%
3
SUB
38%
2
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
38%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
38%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
11 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 21, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER54TD DEFENSE27GRAPPLING60CHIN77STRIKING70CARDIO71AGGRESSION50SUB THREAT70STR DEFENSE33RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power54
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense27
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (52%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin77
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=11 bouts
Striking70
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression50
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat70
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense33
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (45%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense27 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record11 bouts
Striking70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat70 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense33 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (45%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2012WSEP 2012WAPR 2013WJUN 2014WFEB 2015WMAY 2015LJUL 2016WMAY 2019LAUG 2020WOCT 2020WDEC 2021LJUN 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 76, SUB R2.
  5. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 86, SUB R3.
  6. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  7. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 86, DEC R5.
  8. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  9. Start, AUG 2020, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Costa), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
11/11 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
27%
1
9%
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
1
9%
1
9%
1
9%
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
3
27%
-
1
9%
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 11 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
36%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
11 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Adrian YanezJun 18, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 3:49
UFC on ESPN 37 - Kattar vs. Emmett
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Randy CostaDec 11, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 4:15
UFC 269 - Oliveira vs. Poirier
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
W
VS Ali AlQaisiOct 10, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 179 - Moraes vs. Sandhagen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Kai Kamaka IIIAug 15, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 252 - Miocic vs. Cormier 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Andy BrossettMay 17, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:33
AKA - Rite of Passage 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Kevin AguilarJul 1, 2016
DecisionR5 · 5:00
LFC 57 - Legacy Fighting Championship 57
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Levi MowlesMay 29, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFC / LK - Legacy Kickboxing 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Jordan WinskiFeb 21, 2015
SubmissionR3 · 4:08
WFF - World Fighting Federation 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Chris PhamJun 20, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 4:58
LFC 32 - Legacy Fighting Championship 32
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Shoulder Choke)
W
VS Kody ThrasherApr 26, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 3:37
HF - Hilia Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Sean MarsicaneSep 15, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 2:30
Coalition of Combat - Pound for Pound
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 8-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Tony Kelley

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Tony KelleyUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-29