// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Trey Ogden
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Trey
Ogden

NICKNAME"Shamurai"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Marathon MMA
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Trey Ogden
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
36
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
26 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
72%
18/26 bouts
FINISH RATE
61%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-2
L-WWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 61% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.20
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.49
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
56%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.89
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.73
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#47
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1560
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
45th
percentile · average opponent rated 1542 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
49th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.05 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 72% of recorded fights · last rated fight JAN 11, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
SUB · 11
DEC · 7
0
KO/TKO
0%
11
SUB
61%
7
DEC
39%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
SUB · 3
DEC · 4
0
KO/TKO
0%
3
SUB
43%
4
DEC
57%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
61% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 11 fights
61%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
39%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
26 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING51CARDIO68AGGRESSION31SUB THREAT37STR DEFENSE58RECOVERY83
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=25 bouts
Striking51
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression31
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat37
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.73 per 15 min)

Str Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (56%)

Recovery83
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record25 bouts
Striking51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression31 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat37 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.73 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Recovery83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JAN 2015WJAN 2015WAPR 2015LSEP 2015WDEC 2015WFEB 2016WJUN 2016WJUL 2016WDEC 2016WMAY 2017WSEP 2017LDEC 2017WMAR 2018LJUL 2018WDEC 2018WFEB 2019LSEP 2019WDEC 2019WAUG 2020WNOV 2021LAPR 2022WSEP 2022LAPR 2023NOV 2023WMAR 2024WJUL 2024LJAN 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  5. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 94, SUB R2.
  9. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  11. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  15. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  18. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  19. Start, AUG 2020, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  21. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  22. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  24. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 93.
  25. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  27. Start, JAN 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Pfeifer), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
25/26 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
SUB
9
36%
4
16%
1
4%
-
-
14
total
DEC
-
-
11
44%
-
-
11
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
No early-round finish pattern
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
42%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Marathon MMA
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
CAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
26 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Thiago MoisesJan 11, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 249 - Dern vs. Ribas 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Loik RadzhabovJul 20, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 60 - Lemos vs. Jandiroba
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kurt HolobaughMar 23, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 53 - Ribas vs. Namajunas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Nikolas MottaNov 18, 2023
No ContestR3 · 3:11
UFC Fight Night 232 - Allen vs. Craig
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Mike Bell 50 - 45. Derek Cleary 50 - 45. Sal D'amato 50 - 45.
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 287 - Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 210 - Sandhagen vs. Song
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jordan LeavittApr 16, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 34 - Luque vs. Muhammad 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS J.J. OkanovichNov 14, 2021
SubmissionR2 · 3:43
Fury FC 53 - Fury Fighting Championship 53: Lookin' For a Fight
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Cody CarrilloAug 14, 2020
SubmissionR1 · 4:30
FAC 3 - Fighting Alliance Championship 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Brad GrelckDec 6, 2019
SubmissionR2 · 1:40
Blue Corner Promotions - Ultimate Blue Corner Battles
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Nick BrowneSep 13, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:24
LFA 76 - Ogden vs. Browne
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Anthony BaccamFeb 15, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 60 - Anglickas vs. York
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 18-7 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28