// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Tristan Connelly
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Tristan
Connelly

NICKNAME"Boondock"·CANADA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-9-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Tristan Connelly
FIGHTER -
CAN🇨🇦
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
40
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
23 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
61%
14/23 bouts
FINISH RATE
93%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 64% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.31
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.96
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.33
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
14%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#75
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1516
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
36th
percentile · average opponent rated 1544 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
27th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.09 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 32% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 30, 2022 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 9
DEC · 1
4
KO/TKO
29%
9
SUB
64%
1
DEC
7%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 7
1
KO/TKO
11%
1
SUB
11%
7
DEC
78%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
93% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
29%
SUBANY ROUND · 9 fights
64%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
7%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
23 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER41TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING60CHIN83STRIKING53CARDIO81AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE44RECOVERY63
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power41
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=23 bouts
Striking53
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio81
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (50%)

Recovery63
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power41 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record23 bouts
Striking53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Recovery63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2010WMAR 2010LJUL 2010LNOV 2010WJUN 2011LNOV 2011WSEP 2012LNOV 2012WMAY 2013WJUL 2015LOCT 2015WSEP 2016WOCT 2016WMAR 2017WMAY 2017LJUN 2017WAPR 2018WDEC 2018WMAY 2019WJUL 2019WSEP 2019LAPR 2021LAPR 2022LOCT 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 48, DEC R2.
  4. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 41, DEC R3.
  5. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 51, SUB R1.
  6. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 41, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 51, SUB R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 44, DEC R3.
  9. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 53, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 57, DEC R3.
  12. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 77, SUB R2.
  14. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 87, SUB R3.
  15. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 97, SUB R3.
  16. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 90, SUB R3.
  17. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R4.
  18. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R5.
  21. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  24. Start, OCT 2022, momentum score 79, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Pierotti), bottomed at 41 (L vs Ring). Current reading: 79.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
23/23 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
17%
-
-
-
1
4%
5
total
SUB
5
22%
1
4%
3
13%
1
4%
-
10
total
DEC
-
1
4%
7
30%
-
-
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 23 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
R5 finishes on record
// DECISION RATE
35%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
23 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Xavier NashOct 12, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFL 74 - Battlefield Fight League
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Darren ElkinsApr 30, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 35 - Font vs. Vera
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Pat SabatiniApr 24, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 261 - Usman vs. Masvidal 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Michel PereiraSep 14, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 158 - Cowboy vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS D'Juan OwensJul 27, 2019
KO/TKOR5 · 1:56
Rise FC 4 - Rise Fighting Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Zach JuusolaMay 9, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:46
FFC 36 - Final Fight Championship 36: Ambang vs. Chub
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Tyrone HendersonDec 15, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
CageSport MMA - CageSport 54
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Retirement)
W
VS Joey PierottiApr 28, 2018
SubmissionR4 · 1:06
CageSport MMA - CageSport 50
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Shane CampbellJun 9, 2017
SubmissionR3 · 4:54
Unified MMA 31 - Connelly vs. Campbell
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kneebar)
W
VS Lenny WheelerMay 6, 2017
SubmissionR3 · 3:47
Elite 1 MMA - Collision Course
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Garret NybakkenMar 31, 2017
SubmissionR3 · 2:47
Unified MMA 30 - Nybakken vs. Connelly
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Adam AssenzaOct 28, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 1:11
Z Promotions - Fight Night 3: Medicine Hat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 14-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Tristan Connelly

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28