// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Troy Nawrocki
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Troy
Nawrocki

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
3-1-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LOW SAMPLE
HEIGHT
5'9"
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
4 BOUTS
WIN
3
LOSS
1
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
75%
3/4 bouts
FINISH RATE
33%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-1
WWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LOW SAMPLE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.65
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.63
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#102
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1484
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1500 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.50 per fight)

1 rated fight · opponents rated in 25% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 17, 2018 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (3)
n = 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
33%
2
DEC
67%
// LOSSES (1)
n = 1
KO/TKO · 1
1
KO/TKO
100%
0
SUB
0%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
33% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
67%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED6 DERIVED1 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
4 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 21, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint9 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING40CHIN58STRIKING49CARDIO74AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERYN/A
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
9 SCORED · 1 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=3 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin58
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=4 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio74
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

RecoveryN/A
NOT ON FILE

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=1 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins3 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record4 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
RecoveryUnknownNOT ON FILEShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.1 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2016WJUN 2016WJUL 2017WDEC 2017LAUG 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  3. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  4. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  5. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 59, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 69 (W vs Robinson), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 59.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
4/4 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
25%
-
-
-
-
1
total
SUB
-
1
25%
-
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
-
2
50%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 4 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
50%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
4 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Omar MoralesAug 17, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 0:58
Bellator 204 - Caldwell vs. Lahat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Tower RobinsonDec 16, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
VFC 59 - Stots vs. Berdon
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jaime MedinaJul 22, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
VFC 58 - Cochrane vs. Pitolo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Nick RadtkaJun 4, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 2:40
Victory Fighting Championship - VFC Fight Night Harrah's 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 3-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Troy Nawrocki

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Troy NawrockiUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28