// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Wagner Prado
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Wagner
Prado

NICKNAME"Caldeirao"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-8-1
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Wagner Prado
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
39
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
28 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
8
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
67%
18/28 bouts
FINISH RATE
89%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 2-3
LLWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 89% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.72
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.06
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
22%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#41
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1501
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
21st
percentile · average opponent rated 1507 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
38th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.05 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 40% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 21, 2017 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 16
DEC · 2
16
KO/TKO
89%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
11%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
25%
3
SUB
38%
3
DEC
38%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
89% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 16 fights
89%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
11%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
28 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 22, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING0CHIN79STRIKING26CARDIO55AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE44RECOVERY63
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Grappling.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (22%)

Grappling0
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=27 bouts
Striking26
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio55
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (50%)

Recovery63
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (22%)Not recorded
Grappling0 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record27 bouts
Striking26 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Recovery63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2009WOCT 2009WOCT 2009WJUN 2010WJUL 2010WNOV 2010WJAN 2011WAPR 2011WMAY 2012AUG 2012LOCT 2012LJAN 2013WSEP 2013WNOV 2014WMAR 2015WAUG 2015LMAY 2017WNOV 2017WJUN 2018WOCT 2018LMAY 2019JUL 2019LMAY 2021WJUL 2021LDEC 2021LJUL 2022WAPR 2023LAUG 2023WMAY 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R3.
  6. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 100.
  11. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  12. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  13. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R2.
  14. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  22. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 93.
  23. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  24. Start, JUL 2021, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  25. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  27. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 88, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, AUG 2023, momentum score 81, SUB R2.
  29. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Moura), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 92.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
26/28 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
11
42%
5
19%
2
8%
-
-
18
total
SUB
-
3
12%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
5
19%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 16 of 26 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
18%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
28 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Alexey EfremovMay 17, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 3:52
ACA 175 - Gordeev vs. Damkovsky
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Faridun OdilovAug 11, 2023
SubmissionR2 · 2:46
ACA 161 - Gasanov vs. Abdurakhmanov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Scarf Hold)
W
VS Elmar GasanovApr 28, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 1:02
ACA 156 - Koshkin vs. Boyko
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Grigor MatevosyanJul 22, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACA 141 - Froes vs. Suleymanov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Elkhan MusaevDec 4, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACA 133 - Magomedov vs. Matevosyan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mikhail RagozinJul 17, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RCC - Intro 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Kirill KornilovMay 3, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RCC 9 - Russian Cagefighting Championship 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Doo Hwan KimJul 27, 2019
DrawR3 · 5:00
Battlefield FC 2 - Battlefield Fighting Championship 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Unanimous)
L
VS Anton VyaziginMay 4, 2019
KO/TKOR3 · 3:17
RCC 6 - Russian Cagefighting Championship 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Lukasz ParobiecOct 6, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 0:41
KSW 45 - The Return to Wembley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Chris FieldsJun 9, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 2:17
KSW 44 - The Game
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Armando SixelNov 25, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 3:52
Katana Fight - Birthday Edition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 18-8-1 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Wagner Prado

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-29