UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · Retrospective

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos: 6/12 winners (50.0%)

All Retrospectives
Accuracy

50%

Sep 26, 2026

Biggest Hit

Yazmin Jauregui

Biggest Miss

Raoni Barcelos

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos scorecard

This report compares 12 settled official predictions with recorded results.

Prediction accuracy

  • Winner: 6/12 (50.0%).

  • Method: 5/11.

  • Winner and method: 2/11.

  • Round among predicted finishes: 2/5.

  • Round among actual finishes: 2/8.

Method accuracy compares the recorded method independently of the winner. Finish-round denominators include all predicted finishes or all actual finishes, respectively; they are not restricted to correct winner or method picks. Decision predictions have no numeric finish round.

Highest-confidence picks

  • Highest-confidence correct winner: Yazmin Jauregui (71%).

  • Highest-confidence missed winner: Raoni Barcelos (62%); recorded winner: Raul Rosas Jr..

Fight-by-fight results

Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui

  • Prediction: Yazmin Jauregui by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Yazmin Jauregui by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 71%.

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura

  • Prediction: Rinya Nakamura by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Brady Hiestand by Submission, round 2.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 60%.

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos

  • Prediction: Raoni Barcelos by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Raul Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO, round 5.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 62%.

Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez

  • Prediction: Norma Dumont by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Ailin Perez by Decision (no finish round).

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 51%.

Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu

  • Prediction: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu by Submission, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (method outside scored categories).

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 57%.

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek

  • Prediction: Rodolfo Vieira by Submission, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Rodolfo Vieira by Decision (no finish round).

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 55%.

Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener

  • Prediction: Elves Brener by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Elves Brener by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 65%.

Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas

  • Prediction: Luis Hernandez by Submission, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Luis Hernandez by Submission, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 56%.

Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon

  • Prediction: Montel Jackson by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Montel Jackson by KO/TKO, round 2.

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 57%.

John Castaneda vs Heili Alateng

  • Prediction: John Castaneda by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Heili Alateng by Decision (no finish round).

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 55%.

Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado

  • Prediction: Melissa Amaya by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Valesca Machado by KO/TKO, round 2.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 54%.

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards

  • Prediction: Rodolfo Bellato by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Christian Edwards by KO/TKO, round 3.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 62%.