UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Retrospective

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan: 3/11 winners (27.3%)

All Retrospectives
Accuracy

27%

Oct 10, 2026

Biggest Hit

Loopy Godinez

Biggest Miss

Felipe Franco

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan scorecard

This report compares 11 settled official predictions with recorded results.

Prediction accuracy

  • Winner: 3/11 (27.3%).

  • Method: 3/11.

  • Winner and method: 1/11.

  • Round among predicted finishes: 3/4.

  • Round among actual finishes: 3/9.

Method accuracy compares the recorded method independently of the winner. Finish-round denominators include all predicted finishes or all actual finishes, respectively; they are not restricted to correct winner or method picks. Decision predictions have no numeric finish round.

Highest-confidence picks

  • Highest-confidence correct winner: Loopy Godinez (63.52%).

  • Highest-confidence missed winner: Felipe Franco (67.54%); recorded winner: Brendson Ribeiro.

Fight-by-fight results

Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III

  • Prediction: Kai Kamaka III by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Andre Fili by KO/TKO, round 2.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 51%.

Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza

  • Prediction: Loopy Godinez by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Loopy Godinez by Decision (no finish round).

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 63.52%.

Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert

  • Prediction: Matheus Camilo by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Jai Herbert by Decision (no finish round).

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 64.21%.

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi

  • Prediction: Otari Tanzilovi by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Otari Tanzilovi by KO/TKO, round 2.

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 51%.

Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim

  • Prediction: Ismael Bonfim by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Francisco Prado by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 52.55%.

Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert

  • Prediction: Julius Walker by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Julius Walker by KO/TKO, round 2.

  • Winner grade: Correct. Recorded confidence: 58.84%.

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro

  • Prediction: Felipe Franco by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Brendson Ribeiro by Submission, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 67.54%.

Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris

  • Prediction: RJ Harris by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Allen Frye Jr. by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 64.73%.

Alice Pereira vs Darya Zheleznyakova

  • Prediction: Darya Zheleznyakova by Decision (no finish round).

  • Recorded result: Alice Pereira by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 51%.

Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan

  • Prediction: Leon Shahbazyan by Submission, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Niko Price by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 56.23%.

Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan

  • Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan by KO/TKO, round 1.

  • Recorded result: Brendan Allen by Submission, round 5.

  • Winner grade: Miss. Recorded confidence: 51%.