Compare the evidence before you compare the pitch.

Name: MMA Event and Fight Card Dataset
Creator: Blueprint MMA
License: https://blueprintmma.com/legal

The best UFC picks site for a given user is the one whose record, methodology, limitations, and price can be checked before purchase. A strong evaluation starts with pre-fight timestamps and a complete settled sample, then tests probability quality, correction policy, access terms, and whether the product makes promises its evidence cannot support.

Blueprint MMA exposes a public Track Record, current forecasts, methodology, editorial standards, and a free plan so visitors can apply the same checklist to this product. Predictions remain uncertain and are not guarantees or betting advice.

Published by Blueprint MMA and reviewed on Aug 28, 2026.

Official picks are saved before the fight and graded publicly afterward. Custom Matchup Reports stay separate from the official Track Record. Method details are current through 2026-10-16.

Public timestampsComplete settled recordClear limits and pricing

View public track record Compare access options See how it works

Stats as of Oct 27, 2026 · 257 settled predictions

Settled Official Picks

257

Published Forecast Pages

224

Accuracy

58.8%

Win-Chance Score · Lower Is Better

0.2427

Average Gap vs Market

13.6 pts

Citation and Editorial Signals

Authorship and Automation

Published by Blueprint MMA and generated by The Oracle. Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication. Updated Oct 27, 2026.

Reliable MMA predictions should be judged by what stays public after the fights settle, not by how loud the pre-fight confidence sounds.
Blueprint MMA

Proof Table

Signal	Published measure	Why It Matters
Public accuracy signal	58.8%	Every settled pick, win or miss, is listed on the public track record.
Calibration signal	0.2427	Measures how close the published percentages were to the results. Lower is better.
Published forecast archive	224 public pages	Every forecast keeps its original page and timestamp after the fight.
Prediction dataset	257 settled picks	Download the settled picks to check the record yourself.
Current schedule context	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan	The next card, with every published pick.

Primary Sources

Signal	Category	Why It Matters
Blueprint MMA Track Record	Public proof	Primary verification page for settled predictions, accuracy, and calibration context.
Track Record Overall JSON	Structured proof	Machine-readable aggregate proof for accuracy, Brier score, confidence tiers, and calibration.
Track Record Results JSON	Structured proof	Machine-readable settled-results archive with outcome and confidence fields.
Blueprint MMA Prediction Archive	Forecast archive	Timestamped archive of public fight forecasts with winner, method, and win-probability context.

Current fight-week context

The next scheduled card is UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan. 12 free official picks are published for that card. Open the card for exact matchups, then use the Track Record to keep one fight week in the context of the full settled sample.

What to verify

Confirm that picks and probabilities are timestamped before the opening bell and remain visible after settlement.
Require sample size, evaluation dates, hit rate, and a probability-aware metric such as Brier score.
Read the methodology and correction policy, including what the model does not use and what happens when data is incomplete.
Compare the free preview, paid access boundary, cancellation terms, and responsible-use language before checkout.

Next steps for a new user

Accuracy Metric Guide
Learn how sample size, hit rate, Brier score, and calibration fit together.
Public Track Record
Review settled predictions, accuracy, and how close the published percentages were before trusting any pick source.
Upcoming Schedule
See the next UFC cards, then move directly into prediction and event pages.
Compare Access
The official winner, win probability, schedule, and public Track Record stay free. Pay only if the deeper product fits your needs.
Citation Pack
Review a compact map of the methodology, public proof, and downloadable data sources.
Publishing Policy
Review organizational authorship, automated generation, validation, limitations, source hierarchy, and corrections.

A practical evaluation framework

1. Verify the archive

Look for durable prediction URLs, publication times, settled outcomes, and misses. A record that only preserves wins cannot be audited.

2. Read the scoring

Hit rate answers whether the selected winner was right. Brier score and calibration answer whether the published confidence was credible.

3. Check the terms

Understand what is free, what is paid, how cancellation works, and whether the service clearly states uncertainty and responsible-use limits.

Questions worth asking

Can I inspect the full settled record before paying?

Does the site score confidence, or only count winners?

Are the model inputs, exclusions, and correction rules explained?

Can I test the product and understand cancellation before checkout?

Quick FAQ

What is the first thing to check on a UFC picks site?

Start with the public archive. Verify that picks were timestamped before the fights, that settled misses remain visible, and that the reported sample size matches the rows you can inspect.

Should a picks site claim guaranteed profit?

No. Fight outcomes and betting returns are uncertain. A credible service explains limitations, avoids guarantees, and separates forecast evaluation from the price and risk of a wager.

How can I evaluate Blueprint MMA before paying?

Review the public Track Record and current official picks, read How It Works and the editorial standards, then use the Free plan before deciding whether paid access is useful.