Published pick
Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy
- Winner
- Arman Tsarukyan
- Win probability
- 62%
- Strength
- Clearer lean
Why Arman Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan is favored over Mauricio Ruffy because Tsarukyan has the better-supported route from entry to sustained fence and ground control, including prolonged control and scramble recapture in completed UFC bouts. Open-space control remains unresolved, so the lean depends on Tsarukyan converting enough entries rather than treating wrestling statistics as guaranteed access.
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
- Engine version
- AI debate v1
- Source cutoff
- Publication lock
Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy
Full blueprint outline
See exactly what Sharp opens
The structure is public. Matchup-specific conclusions remain behind the verified access check.
01 · Finish projection
Likely method & round
A conditional finish lane plus the assumptions that could overturn it.
02 · Matchup analysis
Evidence and matchup analysis
Supporting and conflicting evidence, tactical interactions, and the uncertainty behind the pick.
03 and 04 · Decision support
Paths, evidence & limits
Both fighters' win paths, supporting and contradictory receipts, uncertainty, and declared limitations.
Free · Tale of the tape
Tale of the tape
| Arman Tsarukyan | Stat | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| 24-3-0 | Record | 14-3-0 |
| 5′7″ · 170 cm | Height | 5′11″ · 180 cm |
| 72″ · 183 cm | Reach | 75″ · 191 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
Evidence checked through Sep 13, before weigh-ins. Misses, scratches, or replacements announced later are not reflected in this pick.
Result: Arman Tsarukyan beat Mauricio Ruffy by KO/TKO in round 1. The pre-fight pick, Arman Tsarukyan, was correct. This is the original pre-fight pick retained after the event. Its settled result appears in the public Track Record.
Publication context
How to read this forecast
This immutable automated forecast covers Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on September 19, 2026. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.
A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 62% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.
Publication details
See when and how this pick was checked
+
See when and how this pick was checked
+- Forecast engine
- The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
- Engine version
- AI debate v1
- Information checked through
- Sep 13, 2026, 11:52 PM UTC
- Published
- Sep 14, 2026, 2:07 AM UTC
- Page data generated
- Oct 27, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC
- Data revision
- 391a50871064bb75ef34607a08ffb9b12bb138760b0f511ec67ff2692988d345
Checks made before publication
- • The event and matchup must agree.
- • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
- • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
- • The website and public data must show the same pick.
Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.
Authorship, limitations, and corrections
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.
Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.