Published pick
Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz
- Winner
- Ateba Gautier
- Win probability
- 70%
- Strength
- Clearer lean
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
- Source cutoff
- Publication lock
Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy
Full blueprint outline
See exactly what Sharp opens
The structure is public. Matchup-specific conclusions remain behind the verified access check.
01 · Finish projection
Likely method & round
A conditional finish lane plus the assumptions that could overturn it.
02 · Matchup analysis
Evidence and matchup analysis
Supporting and conflicting evidence, tactical interactions, and the uncertainty behind the pick.
03 and 04 · Decision support
Paths, evidence & limits
Both fighters' win paths, supporting and contradictory receipts, uncertainty, and declared limitations.
Free · Tale of the tape
Tale of the tape
| Ateba Gautier | Stat | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| 11-1-0 | Record | 10-5-0 |
| 6′4″ · 193 cm | Height | 6′4″ · 193 cm |
| 81″ · 206 cm | Reach | 79″ · 201 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Orthodox |
Evidence checked through May 9, on or after weigh-in day.
Result: Ateba Gautier beat Ozzy Diaz. The pre-fight pick, Ateba Gautier, was correct. This is the original pre-fight pick retained after the event. Its settled result appears in the public Track Record.
Publication context
How to read this forecast
This immutable automated forecast covers Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland on May 9, 2026 in the middleweight division. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.
A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 70% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.
Publication details
See when and how this pick was checked
+
See when and how this pick was checked
+- Forecast engine
- The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
- Engine version
- Recorded on the original pick
- Information checked through
- May 9, 2026, 1:34 AM UTC
- Published
- May 9, 2026, 1:34 AM UTC
- Page data generated
- Oct 27, 2026, 4:15 AM UTC
- Data revision
- b2cbee4b4aff98a7e0d3332625e1c4893d1adec5610ca43844757030468966a2
Checks made before publication
- • The event and matchup must agree.
- • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
- • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
- • The website and public data must show the same pick.
Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.
Authorship, limitations, and corrections
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.
Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.