Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes — By The Numbers
Model Pick: Javier Reyes (51% confidence via Decision)
Method Probabilities
- KO/TKO: 27%
- Submission: 24%
- Decision: 48%
Statistical Edge
Both fighters bring contrasting skill sets into this matchup. Our 57-module AI engine has analyzed hundreds of data points to produce this breakdown.
The Verdict
Based on comprehensive statistical modeling, Javier Reyes holds the edge in this matchup.
Javier Reyes holds a significant advantage in striking volume and defensive stability, which is critical in a matchup between two strikers. Douglas Silva de Andrade is facing severe 'Entropy' flags, including a long layoff and being nearly two decades past his physical peak. The Monte Carlo simulation (66.8% for Reyes) aligns with the specialist consensus. Although there is a slight split on the method (KO vs. Decision), the highest-weighted specialist (Striking Coach) points toward a Decision. Reyes is the clear side based on both technical volume and physical durability metrics.
Analysis powered by The Blueprint MMA War Room Committee Engine
War Room Committee_
War Room Committee Verdict [LOCKED]
You've read the analysis. The War Room Committee's call (winner, method, confidence) is locked behind Sharp.
- Overall accuracy70%· 96 fights
- Calibration gradeC· brier 0.232
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes?
Douglas Silva de Andrade won. Blueprint MMA's pre-fight pick was Javier Reyes.
Who wins Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes?
Blueprint MMA's War Room Committee picks Javier Reyes with a 51% win probability.
How does Blueprint MMA make this prediction?
Blueprint MMA validates and freezes the fight data, then runs 68 Kimi K2.6 agent executions: 33 Winner, 10 Method, 20 Timing, and 5 non-voting Oversight. Kimi K2.6 is the only inference model; LangGraph only orchestrates stage order and state. Winner agents fix the point probability first, Method and Timing agents fill conditional branches without reopening it, and Oversight audits without voting. The public probability is held to a sane 5-95% range and logged before release. Published winner probabilities are AI-only. Market prices may be shown for benchmarking, CLV, and workflow context, but they do not select, rank, or alter the published forecast. If the direct pipeline cannot return a valid read, the forecast is held. Methodology is documented at https://blueprintmma.com/manifesto and accuracy is tracked publicly at https://blueprintmma.com/track-record.
Methodology and Attribution
Author: War Room Committee Desk
Reviewer: Blueprint MMA Research Desk