Published pick
Farés Ziam vs Tom Nolan
- Winner
- Farés Ziam
- Win probability
- 95%
- Strength
- Clearer lean
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
- Source cutoff
- Publication lock
Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy
Full blueprint outline
See exactly what Sharp opens
The structure is public. Matchup-specific conclusions remain behind the verified access check.
01 · Finish projection
Likely method & round
A conditional finish lane plus the assumptions that could overturn it.
02 · Matchup analysis
Evidence and matchup analysis
Supporting and conflicting evidence, tactical interactions, and the uncertainty behind the pick.
03 and 04 · Decision support
Paths, evidence & limits
Both fighters' win paths, supporting and contradictory receipts, uncertainty, and declared limitations.
Free · Tale of the tape
Tale of the tape
| Fares Ziam | Stat | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| 18-6-0 | Record | 11-1-0 |
| 6′1″ · 185 cm | Height | 6′3″ · 191 cm |
| 75″ · 191 cm | Reach | 73″ · 185 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
Evidence checked through Jun 4, before weigh-ins. Misses, scratches, or replacements announced later are not reflected in this pick.
Result: Tom Nolan beat Farés Ziam. The pre-fight pick, Farés Ziam, missed. This is the original pre-fight pick retained after the event. Its settled result appears in the public Track Record.
Publication context
How to read this forecast
This immutable automated forecast covers Farés Ziam vs Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim on June 6, 2026. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.
A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 95% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.
Publication details
See when and how this pick was checked
+
See when and how this pick was checked
+- Forecast engine
- The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
- Engine version
- Recorded on the original pick
- Information checked through
- Jun 4, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC
- Published
- Jun 4, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC
- Page data generated
- Oct 26, 2026, 10:05 PM UTC
- Data revision
- 1d9360792fc365ca98e5d653222bfa1e1d917143ac9266f12e84f7992c1bebb2
Checks made before publication
- • The event and matchup must agree.
- • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
- • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
- • The website and public data must show the same pick.
Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.
Authorship, limitations, and corrections
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.
Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.