For entertainment only. MMA analysis only, not financial advice.

Published pick

Macy Chiasson vs Ailin Perez

Winner
Ailin Perez
Win probability
75%
Strength
Clearer lean

Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.

Source cutoff
Publication lock

Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy

Full blueprint outline

See exactly what Sharp opens

The structure is public. Matchup-specific conclusions remain behind the verified access check.

  1. 01 · Finish projection

    Likely method & round

    A conditional finish lane plus the assumptions that could overturn it.

  2. 02 · Matchup analysis

    Evidence and matchup analysis

    Supporting and conflicting evidence, tactical interactions, and the uncertainty behind the pick.

  3. 03 and 04 · Decision support

    Paths, evidence & limits

    Both fighters' win paths, supporting and contradictory receipts, uncertainty, and declared limitations.

Free · Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape

Evidence checked through Feb 24, before weigh-ins. Misses, scratches, or replacements announced later are not reflected in this pick.

Checking saved status…

Result: Ailin Perez beat Macy Chiasson. The pre-fight pick, Ailin Perez, was correct. This is the original pre-fight pick retained after the event. Its settled result appears in the public Track Record.

Publication context

How to read this forecast

This immutable automated forecast covers Macy Chiasson vs Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on March 1, 2026 in the W Bantamweight division. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.

A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 75% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.

Publication details

See when and how this pick was checked

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Forecast engine
The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
Engine version
Recorded on the original pick
Information checked through
Feb 24, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC
Published
Feb 24, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC
Page data generated
Oct 25, 2026, 3:55 AM UTC
Data revision
b58fd1f500743952d4f830c8839e59728b5fa94443040a2c24c546a5b2dc9abf

Checks made before publication

  • • The event and matchup must agree.
  • • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
  • • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
  • • The website and public data must show the same pick.

Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.

Authorship, limitations, and corrections

Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.

Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.

Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.