Morgan Charriere / Felipe Lima

Charriere is a high-pace pressure striker: jab to the body, calf kicks, and a power left hook, willing to brawl (Landwehr excerpt). That aggression carries defensive cost, visible in the Costa stoppage and the Wood guillotine-sweep sequence. Lima is a low-output counter-puncher with grappling counters: flying knee, counter right, clinch work, and easy takedowns when opponents reach (Johns, Naimov excerpts). Lima's counter-and-clinch profile matches the disciplined-technician template behind Charriere's ten career decision defeats, giving Lima a slight stylistic edge unless Charriere's power链接s

Uncertainty: Stylistic items are authorized semantic projections of single-bout film excerpts, not independent footage study; neither fighter has faced a close analog of the other, so interaction effects are approximate.

Charriere owns the size profile: 68.1 in height vs 66.1, 68.9 in reach vs 68.1, and a 66 kg listing vs Lima's 61 kg, suggesting the naturally larger featherweight. Both are orthodox, so no stance-angle complication; exchanges run through conventional lead sides. Lima is roughly two years younger (1998 vs 1996) with near-identical reach, partially muting the edge. Net: modest physical advantage to Charriere in length and listed mass, offset by Lima's youth and equivalent frame reach.

Uncertainty: Listed weights (66 vs 61 kg) may be stale roster data rather than fight-week mass, and the reach gap is under one inch, within listing noise, so the physical edge is real but small.

Charriere's recent excerpts show a punishing, varied striking win over Landwehr, a first-round stoppage loss to Costa where he was assisted from the cage, being out-hustled by Wood with his shot caught in a guillotine sweep, and a composed anti-grappling stoppage of Miranda. Lima's excerpts show counters and a snapped-back head kick against Talbott in a loss, an easy takedown plus kicking game against Johns, and a flying knee with leglock threat against Naimov. Lima reads as the cleaner defensive technician; Charriere as the more damaging but more vulnerable striker.

Uncertainty: Four short opponent-specific excerpts per fighter with no shared opponent; the Costa clip dominates the durability read on Charriere, and Lima's best sequences came against reaching opponents Charriere may not emulate.

Charriere leads output (4.02 vs 2.86 significant strikes landed per minute), accuracy (50% vs 45%), takedown accuracy (46% vs 27%) and finish rate (76.2% vs 50%). Lima leads every defensive column: 64% vs 53% striking defense, 2.91 vs 4.51 absorbed per minute, 85% vs 83% takedown defense, and 0.7 vs 0.3 submission attempts per 15. Per-minute striking differential tilts to Lima (minus 0.05 vs minus 0.49), and his defensive profile directly counters Charriere's exchange-heavy offense. Slight statistical lean to Lima.

Uncertainty: Career aggregates mix pre-prime and current bouts over unequal samples; Charriere's absorb rate is inflated by brawls he still won, and Lima's defensive numbers came against lower-output opponents.

Charriere is 2-3 across his last five with a first-round KO loss to Costa most recent, following the Landwehr stoppage win and the Wood decision loss; his 21-12-1 ledger shows ten decision defeats and a Glicko of 1724. Lima is 14-2, 2-1 in his last three UFC outings (Johns decision win, Naimov submission win, Talbott decision loss), never stopped by strikes, with a Glicko of 1911 and the stronger recent-performance index. Form, rating, and career direction all favor Lima, though his deviation is wide.

Uncertainty: Lima's high rating deviation reflects limited linked history, and Charriere's 34-bout ledger spans multiple promotions, so both trend lines are coarser than the raw records imply.

Booking terms are symmetric: same card slot, same 20-day short notice for both fighters, so no camp-length edge exists. Differentiators sit with Charriere: the bout is in Paris and he is documented as the Frenchman in this pairing, his last bout (Dec 2025) is roughly six months more recent than Lima's (Jun 2025), and he holds 34 recorded pro bouts with three five-round exposures against Lima's 16 and one. Weigh-in is unverified for both. Modest situational lean to Charriere.

Uncertainty: Crowd influence is inferred from venue plus nationality mention rather than measured; unverified weigh-in and identical notice leave this layer thin.

Preparation evidence is sparse and near-symmetric. Charriere is listed with Team Chapa Quente only; Lima is listed with Allstars Training Center plus a named head coach, Andreas Michael, giving Lima the richer documented corner structure. Both fighters share identical 20-day notice, so neither held a full camp block. With nothing on sparring, injuries, or camp quality in the packet, this lens sits near parity with a marginal nod to Lima's documented coaching.

Uncertainty: Only gym and head-coach labels exist, with no camp-quality, health, or sparring reporting, so any lean rests on documentation depth rather than measured preparation.