Published pick
Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat
- Winner
- Steven Asplund
- Win probability
- 57%
- Strength
- Clearer lean
How this pick was published
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
- Engine version
- Earlier engine version
- Source cutoff
- Publication lock
Win probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Hit rate is not profitability. Correction policy
How does Steven Asplund win?
The winner and win probability are free. The full breakdown answers the rest:
How it ends
The likely method and round if Steven Asplund wins, and the chance it goes the distance.
Both cases
Steven Asplund's case and Guilherme Pat's case, each with the evidence behind it.
Where it breaks
What each case needs, where it fails, and what would change the pick.
Free · Tale of the tape
Tale of the tape
| Steven Asplund | Stat | Guilherme Pat |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 6-1-0 |
| 6′5″ · 196 cm | Height | 6′6″ · 198 cm |
| 78″ · 198 cm | Reach | 81″ · 206 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
Evidence checked through Aug 4, before weigh-ins. Misses, scratches, or replacements announced later are not reflected in this pick.
Result: Steven Asplund beat Guilherme Pat. The pre-fight pick, Steven Asplund, was correct. This is the original pre-fight pick retained after the event. Its settled result appears in the public Track Record.
Publication context
How to read this forecast
This immutable automated forecast covers Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld on August 8, 2026 in the Heavyweight division. Its public winner, probability, source cutoff, and publication lock remain attached to the matchup for later grading.
A probability is an estimate, not a promise. The 57% estimate still allows the opponent a meaningful upset path, and hit rate must not be treated as evidence of betting profitability.
Publication details
See when and how this pick was checked
+
See when and how this pick was checked
+- Forecast engine
- The Oracle by Blueprint MMA
- Engine version
- Earlier engine version
- Information checked through
- Aug 4, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC
- Published
- Aug 4, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC
- Page data generated
- Oct 27, 2026, 9:56 PM UTC
- Data revision
- 5582d36646c01bb7b796614acd12aa613dccfeb07c7e0b0f136e7fae4c49138a
Checks made before publication
- • The event and matchup must agree.
- • Each fighter and fight must be uniquely identified.
- • The winner and win probability must be saved before the fight.
- • The website and public data must show the same pick.
Each fight uses one saved, source-linked research file. The engine weighs supporting and contradictory evidence, records uncertainty, and publishes its estimated win probability with the original evidence cutoff.
Authorship, limitations, and corrections
Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Blueprint MMA publishes the report and the Oracle Engine generates it. Sources can be incomplete, outdated, or wrong, and late injuries, cancellations, weigh-in changes, or market movement can change the fight after the displayed cutoff.
Blueprint MMA never equates hit rate with profitability and makes no profit guarantee. Review the methodology, correction policy, settled proof, and current UFC prediction board.