// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Ali Zebian
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Ali
Zebian

NICKNAME"Anabolic Arab"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-6-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'5"
AGE
32
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
16 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
63%
10/16 bouts
FINISH RATE
40%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 60% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.69
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#96
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1487
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
2nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1494 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
16th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.22 per fight)

14 rated fights · opponents rated in 82% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 20, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 6
4
KO/TKO
40%
0
SUB
0%
6
DEC
60%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
SUB · 2
DEC · 4
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
33%
4
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
40% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
40%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
60%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
SEP 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER57TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING36CHIN88STRIKING50CARDIO77AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power57
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=16 bouts
Striking50
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio77
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record16 bouts
Striking50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2018WNOV 2018LFEB 2019WAPR 2019WOCT 2019WJAN 2020LOCT 2020WNOV 2020WJUL 2021WSEP 2021WAPR 2022WSEP 2022LMAR 2023LJUL 2023WOCT 2023LFEB 2024LJAN 2025LJUN 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  4. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R4.
  6. Start, JAN 2020, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  7. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2020, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  9. Start, JUL 2021, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  10. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  11. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  12. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  15. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 90.
  17. Start, JAN 2025, momentum score 83, SUB R1.
  18. Start, JUN 2026, momentum score 76, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Watford), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 76.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
16/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
13%
1
6%
-
1
6%
-
4
total
SUB
1
6%
-
1
6%
-
-
2
total
DEC
-
-
10
63%
-
-
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 16 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
59%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Gaberial BrownJun 20, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FFIT - Fight For It 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jack CongdonJan 25, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 4:41
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 69
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Yann OliveiraFeb 9, 2024
DQ— · 0:00
Combat FC 6 - Ghareeb vs. Shainis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Disqualification (Eye Gouging)
W
VS Nate AndrewsOct 20, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 0:50
CES MMA 75 - Fight For A Cause
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Arm Injury)
L
VS Ryan SandersJul 8, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NEF 53 - American Valor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Jacob BohnMar 18, 2023
SubmissionR3 · 1:15
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 58
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Sam WatfordSep 9, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 70 - Ghareeb vs. Dubuque
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Aaron BlackieApr 8, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Professional Fighters League - PFL Challenger Series 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dylan SalvadorSep 18, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
PFC - Premier FC 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Peter BarrettJul 10, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 48
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Piankhi ZimmermanNov 5, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 251 - Manhoef vs. Anderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Viacheslav BorshchevOct 2, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 92 - Wirth vs. Askar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 10-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Ali Zebian

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28