// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Sam Watford
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Sam
Watford

NICKNAME"Super Saiyan"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
4-8-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Sam Watford
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
4
LOSS
8
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
33%
4/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.13
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
18%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.73
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#98
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1486
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
15th
percentile · average opponent rated 1516 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
24th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.13 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 58% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 30, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
25%
1
SUB
25%
2
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
25%
3
SUB
38%
3
DEC
38%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
25%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 18, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING55CHIN68STRIKING20CARDIO80AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT50STR DEFENSE71RECOVERY29
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=4 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling55
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio80
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat50
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1 per 15 min)

Str Defense71
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (62%)

Recovery29
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins4 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat50 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense71 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Recovery29 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2015WOCT 2015WAPR 2016LJUN 2016LAPR 2017LJUN 2022LSEP 2022WMAR 2023LMAY 2023WJUL 2023LSEP 2023LNOV 2023LMAR 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 55, DEC R3.
  5. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 48, DEC R3.
  6. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 41, SUB R3.
  7. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 34, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 44, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 37, SUB R2.
  10. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 44, DEC R3.
  11. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 37, SUB R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 30, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 21, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 62 (W vs Hancock), bottomed at 21 (L vs Congdon). Current reading: 21.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
17%
1
8%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
2
17%
1
8%
1
8%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
5
42%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
42%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Jack CongdonMar 30, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 2:02
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 64
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Aaron TrecellNov 11, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 3:10
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 62
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Cameron ResniskySep 23, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 2:53
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 61
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Pat CaseyJul 22, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 60
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ramano MedinaMay 12, 2023
SubmissionR2 · 1:54
CES MMA 73 - Knight vs. Barros
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Timothy TylerMar 4, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
CW - Cage Wars 56
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Ali ZebianSep 9, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 70 - Ghareeb vs. Dubuque
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Dion RubioJun 17, 2022
SubmissionR3 · 1:58
CES MMA 69 - Ajim vs. Baatar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Kemran LachinovApr 21, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 178 - Straus vs. Pitbull 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Nekruz MirkhojaevJun 3, 2016
DecisionR3 · 4:00
ROC 55 - Ring of Combat 55
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dean HancockApr 22, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 1:44
Bellator 153 - Koreshkov vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS T.J. HepburnOct 23, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 144 - Halsey vs. Carvalho
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 4-8. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28