// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Pat Casey
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Pat
Casey

NICKNAME"The Gorilla Ninja"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-9-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Pat Casey
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'5"
AGE
45
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
19 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
53%
10/19 bouts
FINISH RATE
70%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 40% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.27
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.76
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.79
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
22%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
27%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#85
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1477
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1469 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
12th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.26 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 11, 2023

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
4
KO/TKO
40%
3
SUB
30%
3
DEC
30%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 4
DEC · 2
3
KO/TKO
33%
4
SUB
44%
2
DEC
22%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
70% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
40%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
30%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
30%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
19 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 16, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER57TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN69STRIKING45CARDIO59AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE36RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power57
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (27%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin69
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=19 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio59
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense36
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (46%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (27%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record19 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio59 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense36 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (46%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2018WFEB 2018WAPR 2018WJUN 2018WOCT 2018LFEB 2019WAPR 2019WJUL 2019LFEB 2020LSEP 2020LNOV 2020WSEP 2021WNOV 2021LAPR 2022WJUN 2022LSEP 2022WMAY 2023LJUL 2023LNOV 2023LFEB 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  4. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 69, SUB R1.
  5. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  6. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 69, SUB R3.
  7. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 73, DEC R3.
  11. Start, NOV 2020, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 76, SUB R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  14. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  15. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  17. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  19. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 72, SUB R1.

Peaked at 93 (W vs Navis), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 72.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
19/19 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
26%
2
11%
-
-
-
7
total
SUB
6
32%
-
1
5%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
5
26%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 19 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
26%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
19 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Gary Balletto Jr.Feb 23, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 3:08
CES MMA 76 - Balletto vs. Casey
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Joe GiannettiNov 11, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 2:12
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 62
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick)
L
VS Sam WatfordJul 22, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 60
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marty NavisMay 27, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:35
Cage Titans FC - Cage Titans 59
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Albert TadevosyanSep 9, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 4:38
CES MMA 70 - Ghareeb vs. Dubuque
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Stephen StengelJun 17, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 1:00
Combat FC 1 - DiSciullo vs. De la Cruz
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
L
VS Armus GuytonApr 1, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 4:27
CES MMA 67 - Goff vs. Sumter
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jay EllisNov 19, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 1:58
PFC - Premier FC 32
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Timothy TylerSep 18, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 3:41
PFC - Premier FC 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Roman FaraldoNov 12, 2020
KO/TKOR2 · 2:30
Bellator 252 - Pitbull vs. Carvalho
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Flying Knee)
L
VS Daniel MadridSep 12, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 246 - Archuleta vs. Mix
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Yu JiFeb 29, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 0:46
PFC - Premier FC 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 10-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Pat Casey

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28