// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Brian Ebersole
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Brian
Ebersole

NICKNAME"Bad Boy"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
51-18-1
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Brian Ebersole
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
45
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
71 BOUTS
WIN
51
LOSS
18
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
73%
51/71 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 1-4
LLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 33% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.32
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
49%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.14
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
56%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.70
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
23%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.10
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#55
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1548
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
23rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1524 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.15 per fight)

30 rated fights · opponents rated in 43% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 24, 2016 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (51)
n = 51
KO/TKO · 17
SUB · 17
DEC · 17
17
KO/TKO
33%
17
SUB
33%
17
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 8
DEC · 8
2
KO/TKO
11%
8
SUB
44%
8
DEC
44%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 17 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 17 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 17 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
71 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN85STRIKING40CARDIO77AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE58RECOVERY88
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=51 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin85
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=70 bouts
Striking40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio77
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)

Str Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (56%)

Recovery88
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=18 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins51 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin85 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record70 bouts
Striking40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Recovery88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.18 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2000LFEB 2000WJUN 2000WJUN 2000WJUL 2000LNOV 2000WAPR 2001WMAY 2001WMAY 2001LSEP 2001WOCT 2001WOCT 2001LNOV 2001WDEC 2001LDEC 2001WMAR 2002WMAR 2002LAPR 2002WAPR 2002WAPR 2002WAPR 2002WJUN 2002WJUL 2002WAUG 2002WAUG 2002WAUG 2002WAUG 2002WSEP 2002LSEP 2002WOCT 2002WJAN 2003LAPR 2003WSEP 2003OCT 2003WNOV 2003WDEC 2003WJAN 2004WMAR 2004LAUG 2004WSEP 2004LSEP 2004WDEC 2004LJAN 2005WFEB 2006WMAR 2006WMAY 2006WJUL 2006SEP 2006LOCT 2006WNOV 2006LMAR 2007WMAY 2007WOCT 2007WFEB 2008WMAY 2008LSEP 2008WNOV 2008WMAR 2009WMAY 2009WDEC 2009WAPR 2010WJUL 2010WJAN 2011WFEB 2011WAUG 2011WDEC 2011WJUN 2012LJUL 2012LNOV 2013WSEP 2014LJUN 2015LJUN 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2000, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2000, momentum score 38, DEC R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2000, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2000, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2000, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  6. Start, NOV 2000, momentum score 60, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2001, momentum score 67, DEC R2.
  8. Start, MAY 2001, momentum score 77, SUB R2.
  9. Start, MAY 2001, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R3.
  10. Start, SEP 2001, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2001, momentum score 89, SUB R2.
  12. Start, OCT 2001, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2001, momentum score 92, SUB R1.
  14. Start, DEC 2001, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, DEC 2001, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  16. Start, MAR 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, MAR 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, APR 2002, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  19. Start, APR 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, APR 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, APR 2002, momentum score 100, DEC R1.
  22. Start, JUN 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, JUL 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  25. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  27. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  28. Start, SEP 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, SEP 2002, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  30. Start, OCT 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, JAN 2003, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  32. Start, APR 2003, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  33. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 100.
  35. Start, NOV 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R4.
  36. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, JAN 2004, momentum score 100, DEC R4.
  38. Start, MAR 2004, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  39. Start, AUG 2004, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  40. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  41. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  42. Start, DEC 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  43. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  44. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  45. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  46. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  47. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  48. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 100.
  49. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  50. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  51. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  52. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  53. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  54. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  55. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  56. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R4.
  57. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  58. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  59. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  60. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  61. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  62. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  63. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  64. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  65. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  66. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  67. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  68. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  69. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  70. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  71. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  72. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 76, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Lowry), bottomed at 38 (L vs Albandia). Current reading: 76.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
69/71 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
11
16%
3
4%
3
4%
2
3%
-
19
total
SUB
17
25%
6
9%
2
3%
-
-
25
total
DEC
2
3%
3
4%
18
26%
1
1%
1
1%
25
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 14 of 69 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
35%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
71 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Steve KennedyJun 24, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
HFS 6 - Ebersole vs. Kennedy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Omari AkhmedovJun 6, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 68 - Boetsch vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee Injury)
W
VS John HowardSep 27, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 178 - Johnson vs. Cariaso
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Rick StoryNov 16, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 167 - St. Pierre vs. Hendricks
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS James HeadJul 21, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 149 - Faber vs. Barao
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS T.J. WaldburgerJun 22, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on FX 4 - Maynard vs. Guida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Claude PatrickDec 10, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 140 - Jones vs. Machida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Dennis HallmanAug 6, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 4:28
UFC 133 - Evans vs. Ortiz 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
W
VS Chris LytleFeb 27, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 127 - Penn vs. Fitch
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Hamish RobertsonJan 29, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · N/A
LGIOP - Van Diemen's Caged Mayhem
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Carlos NewtonJul 10, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Impact FC 1 - The Uprising: Brisbane
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Martin van StadenApr 15, 2010
SubmissionR3 · N/A
Fight Force 5 - Invasion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 51-18-1 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Brian Ebersole

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Brian EbersoleUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28