// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Chris Lytle
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Chris
Lytle

NICKNAME"Lights Out"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
31-18-5
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Chris Lytle
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
52
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
54 BOUTS
WIN
31
LOSS
18
DRAW
5
WIN RATE
57%
31/54 bouts
FINISH RATE
81%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 61% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.76
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
45%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.03
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.70
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
55%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
55%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
2.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#41
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1576
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
28th
percentile · average opponent rated 1530 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
67th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.18 per fight)

37 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 14, 2011

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (31)
n = 31
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 19
DEC · 6
6
KO/TKO
19%
19
SUB
61%
6
DEC
19%
// LOSSES (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 2
DEC · 16
2
KO/TKO
11%
0
SUB
0%
16
DEC
89%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
81% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 6 fights
19%
SUBANY ROUND · 19 fights
61%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
19%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
54 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER28TD DEFENSE33GRAPPLING60CHIN84STRIKING49CARDIO70AGGRESSION27SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY78
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power28
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=31 wins
TD Defense33
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (55%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin84
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=54 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio70
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression27
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (2.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery78
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=18 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins31 wins
TD Defense33 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin84 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record54 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (2.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.18 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 1999WFEB 1999APR 1999WJUN 1999LJUL 1999AUG 1999WNOV 1999LNOV 1999DEC 1999LJAN 2000WMAR 2000LJUN 2000WJUL 2000LSEP 2000LNOV 2000WNOV 2000WNOV 2000FEB 2001MAR 2001WAPR 2001WDEC 2001LJUL 2002WOCT 2002LDEC 2002WMAR 2003LAPR 2003WJUL 2003WSEP 2003WOCT 2003LNOV 2003WJAN 2004WAPR 2004WAUG 2004WOCT 2004LFEB 2005WMAY 2005WAUG 2005LOCT 2005WJAN 2006WFEB 2006LNOV 2006LMAR 2007WJUL 2007WAUG 2007LNOV 2007WFEB 2008LJUL 2008WOCT 2008LJAN 2009WJUN 2009WFEB 2010WJUL 2010WSEP 2010LFEB 2011WAUG 2011// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 1999, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 1999, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 1999, momentum score 56.
  4. Start, JUN 1999, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUL 1999, momentum score 58, DEC R1.
  6. Start, AUG 1999, momentum score 58.
  7. Start, NOV 1999, momentum score 68, SUB R1.
  8. Start, NOV 1999, momentum score 61, DEC R2.
  9. Start, DEC 1999, momentum score 61.
  10. Start, JAN 2000, momentum score 54, DEC R1.
  11. Start, MAR 2000, momentum score 64, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JUN 2000, momentum score 57, DEC R2.
  13. Start, JUL 2000, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  14. Start, SEP 2000, momentum score 60, DEC R3.
  15. Start, NOV 2000, momentum score 53, DEC R2.
  16. Start, NOV 2000, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, NOV 2000, momentum score 73, SUB R1.
  18. Start, FEB 2001, momentum score 73.
  19. Start, MAR 2001, momentum score 73.
  20. Start, APR 2001, momentum score 83, SUB R1.
  21. Start, DEC 2001, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  22. Start, JUL 2002, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2002, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  24. Start, DEC 2002, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  25. Start, MAR 2003, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, APR 2003, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  27. Start, JUL 2003, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  28. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  29. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  30. Start, NOV 2003, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  31. Start, JAN 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  32. Start, APR 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  33. Start, AUG 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  34. Start, OCT 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  35. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  36. Start, MAY 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  37. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  39. Start, JAN 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  40. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  41. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  42. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  43. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  44. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  45. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  46. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  47. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  48. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  49. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  50. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  51. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  52. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  53. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  54. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  55. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Lavender), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
49/54 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
12%
2
4%
-
-
-
8
total
SUB
12
24%
6
12%
1
2%
-
-
19
total
DEC
2
4%
3
6%
17
35%
-
-
22
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 8 of 49 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
41%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
54 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Dan HardyAug 14, 2011
SubmissionR3 · 4:16
UFC Live 5 - Hardy vs. Lytle
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Brian EbersoleFeb 27, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 127 - Penn vs. Fitch
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Matt SerraSep 25, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 119 - Mir vs. Cro Cop
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Matt BrownJul 3, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 2:02
UFC 116 - Lesnar vs. Carwin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Straight Armbar)
W
VS Brian FosterFeb 20, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 1:41
UFC 110 - Nogueira vs. Velasquez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kneebar)
W
VS Kevin BurnsJun 20, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Marcus DavisJan 17, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 93 - Franklin vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Paul TaylorOct 18, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 89 - Bisping vs. Leben
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Josh KoscheckJul 5, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 86 - Jackson vs. Griffin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kyle BradleyFeb 2, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 0:33
UFC 81 - Breaking Point
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Thiago AlvesNov 17, 2007
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
UFC 78 - Validation
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Matt BrownAug 11, 2007
SubmissionR2 · 2:49
UFL - Fight Night at Conseco Fieldhouse
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 31-18-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28