// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Dan Hardy
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Dan
Hardy

NICKNAME"The Outlaw"·ENGLAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
25-10-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Dan Hardy
FIGHTER -
ENG🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
36 BOUTS
WIN
25
LOSS
10
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
71%
25/36 bouts
FINISH RATE
64%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 2-3
LLLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 56% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.46
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.44
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.73
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
35%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#55
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1547
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
64th
percentile · average opponent rated 1573 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
56th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.09 per fight)

21 rated fights · opponents rated in 60% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 29, 2012

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (25)
n = 25
KO/TKO · 14
SUB · 2
DEC · 9
14
KO/TKO
56%
2
SUB
8%
9
DEC
36%
// LOSSES (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 4
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
10%
4
SUB
40%
4
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
64% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 14 fights
56%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
8%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
36%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
36 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER80TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING40CHIN85STRIKING22CARDIO72AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE47RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power80
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=25 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (35%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin85
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=35 bouts
Striking22
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=36 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (51%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins25 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (35%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin85 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record35 bouts
Striking22 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share36 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (51%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2004LJUN 2004WAUG 2004WSEP 2004LOCT 2004WDEC 2004WJAN 2005WAPR 2005LMAY 2005WJUN 2005WJUN 2005WJUL 2005WSEP 2005OCT 2005WNOV 2005WMAR 2006LAPR 2006LJUN 2006WSEP 2006WDEC 2006WAPR 2007WMAY 2007WSEP 2007LDEC 2007WDEC 2007WAPR 2008WMAY 2008WOCT 2008WFEB 2009WJUN 2009WNOV 2009LMAR 2010LOCT 2010LMAR 2011LAUG 2011WMAY 2012WSEP 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2004, momentum score 38, SUB R2.
  3. Start, AUG 2004, momentum score 45, DEC R3.
  4. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, OCT 2004, momentum score 47, SUB R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2004, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JAN 2005, momentum score 67, SUB R2.
  8. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2005, momentum score 71, SUB R3.
  10. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 87, DEC R2.
  12. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R3.
  13. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 100.
  15. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  16. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  17. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  18. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 86, DEC R2.
  19. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  21. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  22. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  24. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 93.
  25. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  27. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  29. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  30. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  31. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  32. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  33. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  34. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  35. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 69, SUB R3.
  36. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 87, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Berik), bottomed at 38 (L vs Doski). Current reading: 87.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
34/36 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
7
21%
3
9%
5
15%
-
-
15
total
SUB
1
3%
3
9%
2
6%
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
2
6%
8
24%
-
3
9%
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 34 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
36%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
36 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Amir SadollahSep 29, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fuel TV 5 - Struve vs. Miocic
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Duane LudwigMay 26, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 3:51
UFC 146 - Dos Santos vs. Mir
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch and Elbows)
L
VS Chris LytleAug 14, 2011
SubmissionR3 · 4:16
UFC Live 5 - Hardy vs. Lytle
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Anthony JohnsonMar 26, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 24 - Nogueira vs. Davis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Carlos ConditOct 16, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 4:27
UFC 120 - Bisping vs. Akiyama
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Georges St. PierreMar 27, 2010
DecisionR5 · 5:00
UFC 111 - St. Pierre vs. Hardy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mike SwickNov 14, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 105 - Couture vs. Vera
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marcus DavisJun 13, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 99 - The Comeback
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Rory MarkhamFeb 21, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 1:09
UFC 95 - Sanchez vs. Stevenson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Akihiro GonoOct 18, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 89 - Bisping vs. Leben
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Daniel WeichelMay 3, 2008
KO/TKOR2 · N/A
UF - Punishment
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
W
VS Chad ReinerApr 19, 2008
KO/TKOR3 · 2:10
CWFC 33 - Cage Warriors 33: Enter the Rough House 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 25-10 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Dan Hardy

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Dan HardyUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28