// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Brian Rogers
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Brian
Rogers

NICKNAME"The Professional Predator"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-9-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Factory X Muay Thai
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Brian Rogers
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
42
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
24 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
63%
15/24 bouts
FINISH RATE
80%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 4-1
WLWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 67% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.79
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.76
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.22
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#52
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1542
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1457 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
80th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.30 per fight)

19 rated fights · opponents rated in 79% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 23, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 10
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
10
KO/TKO
67%
2
SUB
13%
3
DEC
20%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 5
4
KO/TKO
44%
0
SUB
0%
5
DEC
56%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
80% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 10 fights
67%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
13%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
20%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER95TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING45CHIN68STRIKING49CARDIO61AGGRESSION50SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY78
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power95
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=24 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression50
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery78
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power95 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record24 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2008LFEB 2008WAUG 2008LMAY 2009WOCT 2009WMAR 2010WJUN 2010WOCT 2010WJAN 2011WMAR 2011WSEP 2011LOCT 2011WMAR 2012LAPR 2012WOCT 2012LFEB 2013LSEP 2013WMAY 2014LSEP 2014LAPR 2015WDEC 2015LAPR 2016WJAN 2017WMAR 2017WAUG 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 41, DEC R3.
  5. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  18. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 78, DEC R3.
  21. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 88, SUB R2.
  22. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 99, DEC R3.
  25. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Rammel), bottomed at 38 (L vs Akinyemi). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
42%
4
17%
-
-
-
14
total
SUB
1
4%
1
4%
-
-
-
2
total
DEC
-
-
8
33%
-
-
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 14 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Factory X Muay Thai
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRSTCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Dustin PapeAug 23, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AFP 103 - American Fight Promotions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Canaan GrigsbyMar 24, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
PMMA 7 - Paramount MMA 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Lewis RumseyJan 28, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 1:00
RFO - Big Guns 22
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punch)
L
VS Alessio SakaraApr 16, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 2:29
Bellator 152 - Freire vs. Souza
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Virgil ZwickerDec 4, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 4:38
Bellator 147 - Thomson vs. Villaseca
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
L
VS Joey BeltranApr 10, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 136 - Brooks vs. Jansen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
L
VS Rafael CarvalhoSep 19, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 3:06
Bellator MMA - Bellator 125
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Adrian MilesMay 9, 2014
KO/TKOR2 · 1:29
Bellator MMA - Bellator 119
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Flying Knee)
L
VS Mikkel ParloSep 7, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 98
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Dan CramerFeb 14, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 89
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dominique SteeleOct 26, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 78
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Andreas SpangApr 20, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 3:34
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 66
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 15-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Brian Rogers

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28