// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Caio Magalhaes
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Caio
Magalhaes

NICKNAME"Hellboy"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-7-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Caio Magalhaes
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
38
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
17 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
59%
10/17 bouts
FINISH RATE
70%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 40% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.27
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.78
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
56%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.05
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
15%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
58%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#86
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1468
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
16th
percentile · average opponent rated 1514 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.35 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 71% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 29, 2019

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 4
DEC · 3
3
KO/TKO
30%
4
SUB
40%
3
DEC
30%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
2
KO/TKO
29%
1
SUB
14%
4
DEC
57%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
70% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
30%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
40%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
30%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER43TD DEFENSE40GRAPPLING60CHIN74STRIKING27CARDIO64AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT80STR DEFENSE58RECOVERY33
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power43
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (58%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin74
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=17 bouts
Striking27
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio64
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat80
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (56%)

Recovery33
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record17 bouts
Striking27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat80 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Recovery33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2009WAUG 2009WMAR 2010WOCT 2010WMAR 2011WDEC 2011LJUN 2012WJUN 2013WDEC 2013WAPR 2014WNOV 2014LJUL 2015LSEP 2016WMAY 2017LOCT 2017LMAY 2018LAUG 2018LMAR 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 55, SUB R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  4. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  7. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 92, SUB R2.
  9. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 99, DEC R3.
  10. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  15. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 89, DEC R5.
  16. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  17. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Zachrich), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 62.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
17/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
29%
-
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
3
18%
1
6%
1
6%
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
6
35%
-
1
6%
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 17 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
41%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Eric SpicelyMar 29, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 4:00
CES MMA 55 - Wells vs. De Jesus
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Sadibou SyAug 30, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 2:06
Professional Fighters League - PFL 7: 2018 Regular Season
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS Mikhail ZayatsMay 12, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
M-1 Challenge 91 - Zayats vs. Magalhaes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Artem FrolovOct 27, 2017
DecisionR5 · 5:00
M-1 Challenge 84 - 20 Years of MMA
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dmitry VoitovMay 26, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 1:16
M-1 Challenge 78 - Divnich vs. Ismagulov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Brad TavaresSep 10, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Josh SammanJul 12, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 2:52
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Trevor SmithNov 8, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 0:31
UFC Fight Night 56 - Shogun vs. St. Preux
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee and Punches)
W
VS Luke ZachrichApr 19, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 0:44
UFC on Fox 11 - Werdum vs. Browne
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Nick RingDec 7, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 33 - Hunt vs. Bigfoot
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Karlos VemolaJun 8, 2013
SubmissionR2 · 2:49
UFC on Fuel TV 10 - Nogueira vs. Werdum
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Buddy RobertsJun 8, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on FX 3 - Johnson vs. McCall
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 10-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Caio Magalhaes

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Caio MagalhaesUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28