// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Eric Spicely
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0MIDDLEWEIGHT

Eric
Spicely

NICKNAME"Zebrinha"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
13-9-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Eric Spicely
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
40
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
22 BOUTS
WIN
13
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
59%
13/22 bouts
FINISH RATE
85%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 1-4
LLLWL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 54% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.71
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
45%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.72
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.31
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
20%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
75%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#87
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1463
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1488 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.36 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 68% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 20, 2023

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 7
DEC · 2
4
KO/TKO
31%
7
SUB
54%
2
DEC
15%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 3
DEC · 1
5
KO/TKO
56%
3
SUB
33%
1
DEC
11%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
85% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
31%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
54%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
15%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
22 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER44TD DEFENSE78GRAPPLING60CHIN61STRIKING49CARDIO57AGGRESSION33SUB THREAT50STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY38
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power44
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=13 wins
TD Defense78
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (75%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin61
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=22 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio57
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression33
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat50
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery38
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power44 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins13 wins
TD Defense78 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (75%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record22 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat50 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery38 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2013WFEB 2013WJUN 2013WDEC 2013WAPR 2014WAUG 2014WJAN 2015WJUN 2015WOCT 2015LJUL 2016WSEP 2016WJAN 2017LJUN 2017LDEC 2017LMAY 2018WJAN 2019WMAR 2019LJUN 2019LJAN 2021LMAY 2021LSEP 2021WFEB 2023LOCT 2023// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  14. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JAN 2021, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 76, SUB R1.
  23. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 69, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Haley), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 69.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
22/22 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
27%
3
14%
-
-
-
9
total
SUB
9
41%
1
5%
-
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
3
14%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 22 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
14%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
22 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Justin SumterOct 20, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 2:32
CES MMA 75 - Fight For A Cause
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Neck Crank)
W
VS Nikolata ZlatevFeb 25, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 0:54
Fabriq MMA - Fabriq 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Twister)
L
VS Zdenek PolivkaSep 25, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 1:22
Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 28: Pesta vs. Putz
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Marcin NaruszczkaMay 29, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 2:25
Oktagon MMA - Oktagon 24: Kosma vs. Apollo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 0:55
UAE Warriors - UAE Warriors 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Deron WinnJun 22, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 154 - Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Caio MagalhaesMar 29, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 4:00
CES MMA 55 - Wells vs. De Jesus
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Leo PlaJan 19, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 3:53
CES MMA 54 - Andrews vs. Logan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
L
VS Darren StewartMay 27, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 1:47
UFC Fight Night 130 - Thompson vs. Till
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
KO/TKOR2 · 2:18
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 26 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Body Kick)
L
VS Antonio Carlos Jr.Jun 3, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 3:49
UFC 212 - Aldo vs. Holloway
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
SubmissionR1 · 2:14
UFC on Fox 23 - Shevchenko vs. Pena
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 13-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28