// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Carlos Prates
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #1STOCK +1WELTERWEIGHT

Carlos
Prates

NICKNAME"The Nightmare"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
24-7-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
The Fighting Nerds
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Carlos Prates
FIGHTER 001
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'6"
AGE
33
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
31 BOUTS
WIN
24
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
77%
24/31 bouts
FINISH RATE
92%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 4-1
WLWWW
Form trend +1 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 79% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.77
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.53
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
47%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.21
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
80%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 98 other rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#9
of 99 on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1670
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
88th
percentile · average opponent rated 1627 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
88th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.40 per fight)

16 rated fights · opponents rated in 52% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 2, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (24)
n = 24
KO/TKO · 19
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
19
KO/TKO
79%
3
SUB
13%
2
DEC
8%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
29%
3
SUB
43%
2
DEC
29%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
92% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 19 fights
79%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
13%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
8%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
31 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE89GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING63CARDIO59AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE38RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=24 wins
TD Defense89
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (80%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin80
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=31 bouts
Striking63
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio59
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense38
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (47%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins24 wins
TD Defense89 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (80%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record31 bouts
Striking63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio59 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense38 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (47%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2012WMAR 2012WMAR 2012LMAY 2012WMAY 2013LSEP 2013WNOV 2013LNOV 2013WJUN 2014LOCT 2014WJAN 2016WNOV 2016LJAN 2017WAPR 2017WDEC 2018WAPR 2019LJUN 2019WDEC 2019WDEC 2021WJUN 2022WSEP 2022WNOV 2022WMAR 2023WAUG 2023WFEB 2024WJUN 2024WAUG 2024WNOV 2024LAPR 2025WAUG 2025WNOV 2025WMAY 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R3.
  4. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 53, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 60, DEC R3.
  6. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 53, SUB R1.
  7. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 57, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 67, SUB R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 60, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 70, SUB R2.
  12. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  13. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 98, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  18. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 98, DEC R3.
  19. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, AUG 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  26. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, AUG 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, NOV 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, APR 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  30. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, NOV 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  32. Start, MAY 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Silva), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
31/31 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
11
35%
8
26%
2
6%
-
-
21
total
SUB
4
13%
1
3%
1
3%
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
3
10%
-
1
3%
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 19 of 31 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
13%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
The Fighting Nerds
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
CAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
31 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
KO/TKOR3 · 3:17
UFC Fight Night 275 - Della Maddalena vs. Prates
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Leg Kicks and Elbows)
W
VS Leon EdwardsNov 15, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 1:28
UFC 322 - Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Geoff NealAug 16, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:59
UFC 319 - Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Spinning Back Elbow)
L
VS Ian GarryApr 26, 2025
DecisionR5 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 66 - Garry vs. Prates
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Neil MagnyNov 9, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 4:50
UFC Fight Night 247 - Magny vs. Prates
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Jingliang LiAug 17, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 4:02
UFC 305 - Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 4:47
UFC on ESPN 57 - Cannonier vs. Imavov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee to the Body)
W
VS Trevin GilesFeb 10, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 4:03
UFC Fight Night 236 - Hermansson vs. Pyfer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Mitch RamirezAug 29, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 1:14
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2023: Week 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punch)
W
VS Eduardo RamonMar 10, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 2:25
LFA 154 - Fernando vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
W
VS Moacir RochaNov 4, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 4:15
LFA 146 - Barbosa vs. Santos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 3:14
SFT 37 - Prates vs. De Oliveira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 24-7. Ranked #1 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27