// Roster Index›Heavyweight›Dossier · Carmelo Marrero
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNHEAVYWEIGHT

Carmelo
Marrero

NICKNAME"The Fury"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-6-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
American Top Team
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Carmelo Marrero
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
45
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
23 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
73%
16/23 bouts
FINISH RATE
63%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-2
LWLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.84
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.60
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.04
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 50%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.21
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 0.72
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
36%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 30%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
36%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 50%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.90
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.00
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 64 rated fighters on the UFC heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#37
against the 64 rated on the UFC heavyweight roster · Elo 1540
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
14th
percentile · average opponent rated 1503 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
64th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.15 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 68% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 25, 2013

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 7
DEC · 6
3
KO/TKO
19%
7
SUB
44%
6
DEC
38%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
SUB · 2
DEC · 4
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
33%
4
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
63% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
19%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
44%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
38%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
23 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER27TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING63CHIN88STRIKING20CARDIO68AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT45STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power27
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (36%)

Grappling63
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=22 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat45
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (36%)Not recorded
Grappling63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record22 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat45 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2004WOCT 2004WAPR 2005WAUG 2005WMAR 2006WJUN 2006WOCT 2006LDEC 2006LMAY 2007WNOV 2007APR 2008WAUG 2008WSEP 2008WNOV 2008LAPR 2009LSEP 2009WFEB 2010WJUL 2010WOCT 2010LJAN 2011WOCT 2011LOCT 2012WJUN 2013WOCT 2013// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2004, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 62, DEC R2.
  4. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 69, DEC R2.
  5. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 79, SUB R2.
  6. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  8. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  10. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 93.
  12. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  17. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  18. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  20. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  24. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs McHugh), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
22/23 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
9%
1
5%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
5
23%
4
18%
-
-
-
9
total
DEC
-
2
9%
8
36%
-
-
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 22 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
43%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
American Top Team
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVY

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
23 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Shelton GravesOct 25, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:33
XFE - Cage Wars 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Achilles Lock)
W
VS J.A. DudleyJun 8, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 1:54
XFE - Cage Wars 24
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Lew PolleyOct 19, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 77
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Scott BarrettOct 21, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
XFC 14 - Resurrection
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mark HolataJan 29, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
C3 Fights - SlamFest
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Steven BanksOct 9, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 2:33
WCC 3 - Brawl at the Hall
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Brian HedenJul 17, 2010
DecisionR3 · 3:00
C3 Fights - Knockout-Rockout Weekend 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Wayne ColeFeb 13, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 2:37
C3 Fights - Slammin Jammin Weekend 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Antwain BrittSep 5, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Vendetta Fighting Championship - A Night of Vengeance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ryan BaderApr 1, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 18 - Condit vs. Kampmann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Steve SteinbeissNov 5, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WEC 36 - Faber vs. Brown
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Chuck HuusSep 19, 2008
Submission— · N/A
C3 Fights - Clash in Concho
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Ankle Lock)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Heavyweight. Professional record 16-6 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Carmelo Marrero

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28