// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Clayton Carpenter
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFLYWEIGHT

Clayton
Carpenter

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-3-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Clayton Carpenter
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'6"
REACH
5'6"
AGE
29
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
11 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
73%
8/11 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.66
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.57
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
56%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.99
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
38%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.33
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 59 other rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#39
of 60 on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1510
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
20th
percentile · average opponent rated 1516 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.17 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 64% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 9, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 4
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
25%
4
SUB
50%
2
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
33%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
11 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING65CHIN88STRIKING61CARDIO68AGGRESSION39SUB THREAT67STR DEFENSE58RECOVERY0
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Recovery.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (38%)

Grappling65
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=11 bouts
Striking61
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression39
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.33 per 15 min)

Str Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (56%)

Recovery0
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (38%)Not recorded
Grappling65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record11 bouts
Striking61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression39 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.33 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Recovery0 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2019WAUG 2019WFEB 2020WAUG 2020WMAY 2021WDEC 2021WAUG 2022WFEB 2023WOCT 2024LJAN 2025LOCT 2025LMAY 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 55, SUB R3.
  3. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2020, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  5. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, JAN 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  12. Start, MAY 2026, momentum score 79, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Chairez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 79.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
11/11 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
18%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
3
27%
1
9%
1
9%
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
4
36%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 11 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
36%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
11 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Jose OchoaMay 9, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 328 - Chimaev vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jafel FilhoOct 11, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 4:42
UFC Fight Night 261 - Oliveira vs. Gamrot
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
L
VS Tagir UlanbekovJan 18, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 311 - Makhachev vs. Moicano
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Lucas RochaOct 12, 2024
SubmissionR2 · 2:12
UFC Fight Night 244 - Royval vs. Taira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
SubmissionR1 · 3:13
UFC Fight Night 219 - Andrade vs. Blanchfield
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Edgar ChairezAug 9, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 0:13
LFA 119 - Silveira vs. Revel
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick)
W
VS Nick ClemMay 21, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 0:45
LFA 108 - Fremd vs. Rodrigues
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kneebar)
W
VS Manuel MedinaAug 28, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 89 - Moore vs. Giannetti
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Maui AcantiladoFeb 22, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 4:28
WFF 42 - World Fighting Federation
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick)
W
VS Efren RamirezAug 24, 2019
SubmissionR3 · 2:16
Iron Boy Promotions - Iron Boy MMA 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 8-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28