// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Lucas Rocha
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0FLYWEIGHT

Lucas
Rocha

NICKNAME"Fenomeno"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-2-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Lucas Rocha
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'3"
REACH
5'4"
AGE
25
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
20 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
90%
18/20 bouts
FINISH RATE
78%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 3-2
LLWWW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 28% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
5.09
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.67
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
56%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.64
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
75%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
76%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 59 other rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#46
of 60 on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1503
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
10th
percentile · average opponent rated 1511 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
54th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.09 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 60% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 11, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 5
DEC · 2
5
KO/TKO
28%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
11%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
2
KO/TKO
100%
1
SUB
50%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
78% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
28%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
11%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
11 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER79TD DEFENSE80GRAPPLING60CHIN66STRIKING69CARDIO72AGGRESSION60SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE58RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power79
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense80
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (76%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin66
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from linked bouts

N=11 bouts
Striking69
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression60
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (56%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense80 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (76%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from linked bouts11 bouts
Striking69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2019LOCT 2019WSEP 2022WMAY 2023WJUL 2023WOCT 2023LMAY 2024LOCT 2024LOCT 2024WAUG 2025WOCT 2025WJAN 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 44, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 51, DEC R3.
  5. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 71, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 57, SUB R2.
  9. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 50, DEC R3.
  10. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 59, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 66, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JAN 2026, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 77 (W vs Fighter), bottomed at 35 (L vs Gabriel). Current reading: 77.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
11/11 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
27%
3
27%
1
9%
-
-
7
total
SUB
-
1
9%
-
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
-
3
27%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 11 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
27%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
11 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Unknown FighterJan 30, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 4:55
BRTL 10 - Brutal Fight Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
W
VS Stewart NicollOct 11, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 261 - Oliveira vs. Gamrot
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Michael Bell 30 - 27. Chris Lee 30 - 27. David Sutherland 29 - 28.
W
VS Gabriel BritoAug 15, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 1:38
Cage Masters 4 - Cage Masters Fighting Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Junei SouzaOct 19, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
GVT 5 - Goiana Vale Tudo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
SubmissionR2 · 2:12
UFC Fight Night 244 - Royval vs. Taira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Elton ArmindoMay 25, 2024
KO/TKOR3 · 3:19
WOW 14 - Madrid
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
KO/TKOR2 · 0:18
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2023: Week 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee and Punches)
W
VS Anderson SilvaJul 29, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 03:30
RFN - Revelation Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Matheus SeverinoMay 27, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 159 - Bellato vs. Dos Santos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Caio RezendeSep 10, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 2:39
PF 2 - Paraiba Fight 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Alan GabrielOct 19, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 2:15
Future MMA 9 - Buffa vs. Vasconcelos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 18-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28