// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Daniel Kelly
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0MIDDLEWEIGHT

Daniel
Kelly

NICKNAME"N/A"·AUSTRALIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
13-4-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Daniel Kelly
FIGHTER -
AUS🇦🇺
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
48
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
17 BOUTS
WIN
13
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
76%
13/17 bouts
FINISH RATE
62%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 38% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.62
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.64
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.86
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
78%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#52
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1541
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
74th
percentile · average opponent rated 1572 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
44th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.01 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 59% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 27, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 5
DEC · 5
3
KO/TKO
23%
5
SUB
38%
5
DEC
38%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 3
DEC · 1
3
KO/TKO
75%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
62% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
23%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
38%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
38%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER33TD DEFENSE84GRAPPLING60CHIN67STRIKING38CARDIO70AGGRESSION37SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE69RECOVERY33
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power33
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=13 wins
TD Defense84
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (78%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin67
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=17 bouts
Striking38
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio70
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression37
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense69
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (61%)

Recovery33
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins13 wins
TD Defense84 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (78%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record17 bouts
Striking38 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense69 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Recovery33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2006WJUL 2006WDEC 2012WMAR 2013WMAY 2013WJUN 2013WAUG 2013WMAY 2014WNOV 2014WFEB 2015LMAY 2015WNOV 2015WMAR 2016WNOV 2016WMAR 2017LJUN 2017LNOV 2017LMAY 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  4. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 71, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 91, SUB R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  8. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  9. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  14. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  18. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Bratovz), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 73.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
17/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
18%
2
12%
1
6%
-
-
6
total
SUB
4
24%
1
6%
-
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
6
35%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 17 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
35%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Tom BreeseMay 27, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 3:33
UFC Fight Night 130 - Thompson vs. Till
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Elias TheodorouNov 18, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 121 - Werdum vs. Tybura
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Derek BrunsonJun 10, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 1:16
UFC Fight Night 110 - Hunt vs. Lewis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Rashad EvansMar 4, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 209 - Woodley vs. Thompson 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Chris CamozziNov 26, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 101 - Whittaker vs. Brunson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Antonio Carlos Jr.Mar 19, 2016
KO/TKOR3 · 1:36
UFC Fight Night 85 - Hunt vs. Mir
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Steve MontgomeryNov 14, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Sam AlveyMay 10, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 0:49
UFC Fight Night 65 - Miocic vs. Hunt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Patrick WalshFeb 14, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 60 - Henderson vs. Thatch
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Luke ZachrichNov 7, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:27
UFC Fight Night 55 - Rockhold vs. Bisping
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Ben KelleherMay 17, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 3:41
AFC 9 - Australian Fighting Championship 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Bor BratovzAug 24, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 1:42
AFC 6 - Australian Fighting Championship 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 13-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28