// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Patrick Walsh
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Patrick
Walsh

NICKNAME"The Beast of the East"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-3-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Patrick Walsh
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
37
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
77%
10/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
60%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
GRAPPLER

Grappler fighter built around defensive grappling — 40% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.03
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
19%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.83
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
64%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
54%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#31
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1541
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
30th
percentile · average opponent rated 1517 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
59th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.13 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 31, 2017

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 2
DEC · 4
4
KO/TKO
40%
2
SUB
20%
4
DEC
40%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
33%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
60% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
40%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
20%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
40%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER57TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING81CHIN88STRIKING20CARDIO86AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT75STR DEFENSE76RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power57
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling81
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio86
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat75
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense76
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (64%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio86 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat75 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense76 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (64%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2012WSEP 2012WDEC 2012WFEB 2013LMAY 2013WJUN 2013WJUL 2014LFEB 2015WAUG 2015WOCT 2015WAUG 2016WSEP 2016WJAN 2017LMAR 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 69, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  7. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  8. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  9. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  11. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  14. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Johnson), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
13/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
31%
-
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
2
15%
1
8%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
6
46%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 13 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
46%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Dirlei BroenstrupMar 31, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 42 - Curtis vs. Santiago Jr.
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Kevin HaleyJan 27, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 0:23
CES MMA 41 - Bessette vs. Croom
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Carlos ZevallosSep 23, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 1:49
CES MMA 38 - Soriano vs. Makashvili
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Leroy JohnsonAug 13, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 2:33
WXC 64 - Redemption
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Tyler KingOct 17, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WSOF 24 - Fitch vs. Okami
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jesse McElligottAug 14, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 30 - Classic Entertainment and Sports 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Daniel KellyFeb 14, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 60 - Henderson vs. Thatch
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dan SpohnJul 6, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 19 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Todd StouteJun 29, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
SCC 1 - Substance Cage Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Keith BerishMay 18, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 0:18
VCS - Winters vs. Manley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Eric BedardFeb 1, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 1:56
CES MMA 15 - Undisputed 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Eric BedardDec 7, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 0:51
CES MMA 14 - Battle Tested
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 10-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Patrick Walsh

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Patrick WalshUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28