// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Derrick Noble
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Derrick
Noble

NICKNAME"The Eraser"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
27-15-1
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Derrick Noble
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
AGE
48
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
43 BOUTS
WIN
27
LOSS
15
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
63%
27/43 bouts
FINISH RATE
78%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 2-3
WLLLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
6.21
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.79
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#81
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1505
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
4th
percentile · average opponent rated 1492 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
44th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.01 per fight)

24 rated fights · opponents rated in 56% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 12, 2012

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (27)
n = 27
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 12
DEC · 6
9
KO/TKO
33%
12
SUB
44%
6
DEC
22%
// LOSSES (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 6
DEC · 4
5
KO/TKO
33%
6
SUB
40%
4
DEC
27%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
78% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 12 fights
44%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
22%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
43 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN74STRIKING67CARDIO47AGGRESSION61SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY53
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=27 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin74
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=43 bouts
Striking67
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio47
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression61
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery53
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=15 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins27 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record43 bouts
Striking67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio47 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.15 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2000LSEP 2000LOCT 2000WJAN 2001WJAN 2001WJUN 2001WNOV 2001WJAN 2002WMAR 2002LMAY 2002WJUN 2002WAUG 2002WMAR 2003WMAY 2003LSEP 2003LOCT 2003WNOV 2003WDEC 2003WMAR 2004WSEP 2004LNOV 2004FEB 2005LMAR 2005WJUL 2005WDEC 2005WJAN 2006WMAR 2006LAPR 2006LJUN 2006WSEP 2006WOCT 2006WNOV 2006WDEC 2006LAPR 2007LOCT 2007WFEB 2008WDEC 2008LFEB 2009WSEP 2009WJAN 2010LFEB 2010LAPR 2010LOCT 2010WMAY 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2000, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2000, momentum score 38, SUB R2.
  3. Start, OCT 2000, momentum score 31, SUB R2.
  4. Start, JAN 2001, momentum score 41, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JAN 2001, momentum score 51, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2001, momentum score 58, DEC R1.
  7. Start, NOV 2001, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  8. Start, JAN 2002, momentum score 77, SUB R2.
  9. Start, MAR 2002, momentum score 87, SUB R2.
  10. Start, MAY 2002, momentum score 80, SUB R3.
  11. Start, JUN 2002, momentum score 87, DEC R1.
  12. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  14. Start, MAY 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 93, DEC R2.
  16. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  17. Start, NOV 2003, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R2.
  18. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  19. Start, MAR 2004, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, NOV 2004, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  22. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 93.
  23. Start, MAR 2005, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  24. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  26. Start, JAN 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  28. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  30. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 91, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  32. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  33. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  35. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  36. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R2.
  37. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  38. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  39. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  40. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  41. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  42. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  43. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  44. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 83, SUB R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Healy), bottomed at 31 (L vs Rigsby). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
42/43 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
11
26%
3
7%
-
-
-
14
total
SUB
6
14%
10
24%
2
5%
-
-
18
total
DEC
2
5%
1
2%
6
14%
-
1
2%
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 14 of 42 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
23%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
43 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Eddie LarreaMay 12, 2012
SubmissionR3 · 1:38
3RT - 3 River Throwdown 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 1:54
United Glory - 2010-2011 World Series Quarterfinals
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Drew FickettApr 24, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 1:09
CFX / XKL - Mayhem in Minneapolis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Yves EdwardsFeb 26, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 4:44
MFC 24 - HeatXC
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Joe BenoitJan 2, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 3:58
Hoosier FC 2 - It's On
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Shonie CarterSep 5, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Vendetta Fighting Championship - A Night of Vengeance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Antonio McKeeFeb 20, 2009
DecisionR5 · 5:00
MFC 20 - Destined For Greatness
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ariel SextonDec 5, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 1:30
MFC 19 - Long Time Coming
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
KO/TKOR2 · 4:34
HCF - Destiny
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Chris WilsonOct 27, 2007
DecisionR3 · 5:00
SF 20 - Homecoming
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Erik OganovApr 14, 2007
KO/TKOR2 · 2:55
Bodog Fight - Clash of the Nations
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bodog Fight - Clash of the Nations
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 27-15-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28