// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Jake Ellenberger
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Jake
Ellenberger

NICKNAME"The Juggernaut"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
31-15-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Kings MMA
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jake Ellenberger
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
41
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
46 BOUTS
WIN
31
LOSS
15
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
31/46 bouts
FINISH RATE
81%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 68% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.47
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
39%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.83
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.04
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
47%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
86%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#67
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1532
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
71st
percentile · average opponent rated 1585 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
2nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.33 per fight)

33 rated fights · opponents rated in 72% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 25, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (31)
n = 31
KO/TKO · 21
SUB · 4
DEC · 6
21
KO/TKO
68%
4
SUB
13%
6
DEC
19%
// LOSSES (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 2
DEC · 6
7
KO/TKO
47%
2
SUB
13%
6
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
81% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 21 fights
68%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
13%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
19%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
46 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER97TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN70STRIKING28CARDIO62AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE67RECOVERY57
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power97
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=31 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (86%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin70
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=46 bouts
Striking28
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (60%)

Recovery57
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=15 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power97 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins31 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (86%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record46 bouts
Striking28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Recovery57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.15 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2005WAPR 2005WMAY 2005WJUN 2005WAUG 2005WSEP 2005WOCT 2005WNOV 2005WDEC 2005WDEC 2005WFEB 2006WMAR 2006WAPR 2006LJUN 2006WNOV 2006LDEC 2006WDEC 2006WFEB 2007LSEP 2007WNOV 2007WFEB 2008LJUN 2008WJUL 2008WAUG 2008WMAY 2009WJUN 2009LSEP 2009WJAN 2010WAUG 2010WFEB 2011WAPR 2011WSEP 2011WFEB 2012LJUN 2012WOCT 2012WMAR 2013LJUL 2013LMAY 2014LNOV 2014WFEB 2015LJUL 2015LJAN 2016WJUL 2016LDEC 2016LAPR 2017LJUN 2018LAUG 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2005, momentum score 65, SUB R3.
  4. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  10. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  11. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  15. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  18. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  20. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  24. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  28. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  29. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  30. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  31. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  33. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  35. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  36. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  38. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R3.
  39. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  40. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 89, SUB R2.
  41. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  42. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  43. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  44. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  45. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R2.
  46. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  47. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Boemer), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 46.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
46/46 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
17
37%
8
17%
3
7%
-
-
28
total
SUB
2
4%
3
7%
1
2%
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
1
2%
11
24%
-
-
12
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 25 of 46 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
26%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Kings MMA
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
CAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
46 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Bryan BarberenaAug 25, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 2:26
UFC Fight Night 135 - Gaethje vs. Vick
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Ben SaundersJun 1, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 1:56
UFC Fight Night 131 - Rivera vs. Moraes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee to the Body)
L
VS Mike PerryApr 22, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 1:05
UFC Fight Night 108 - Swanson vs. Lobov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Elbow)
L
VS Jorge MasvidalDec 3, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 4:05
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Matt BrownJul 30, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 1:46
UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches)
L
VS Tarec SaffiedineJan 30, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Stephen ThompsonJul 12, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 4:29
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
W
VS Josh KoscheckFeb 28, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 4:20
UFC 184 - Rousey vs. Zingano
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (North-South Choke)
L
VS Kelvin GastelumNov 15, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:46
UFC 180 - Werdum vs. Hunt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Robbie LawlerMay 24, 2014
KO/TKOR3 · 3:06
UFC 173 - Barao vs. Dillashaw
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee and Punches)
L
VS Rory MacDonaldJul 27, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fox 8 - Johnson vs. Moraga
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Nate MarquardtMar 16, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 3:00
UFC 158 - St. Pierre vs. Diaz
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 31-15. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Jake Ellenberger

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28