// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Diyar Nurgozhay
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Diyar
Nurgozhay

NICKNAME"N/A"·KAZAKHSTAN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-2-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Tobet Top Team
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Diyar Nurgozhay
FIGHTER -
KAZ🇰🇿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
29
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
85%
11/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
73%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-2
WLLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 64% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.99
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.54
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
15.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
15.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 55 other rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#22
of 56 on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1561
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
35th
percentile · average opponent rated 1522 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
69th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.18 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 62% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 8, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
7
KO/TKO
64%
2
SUB
18%
3
DEC
27%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
SUB · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
64%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
18%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
27%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED6 DERIVED2 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
14 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint8 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER78TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLINGN/ACHIN88STRIKING48CARDIO61AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE100RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
8 SCORED · 2 OPEN
KO Power78
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

GrapplingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs takedown volume, takedown accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking48
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
DERIVED PROXY

Submission wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
Str Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (100%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
GrapplingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds takedown volume, takedown accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYSubmission wins divided by total career wins11 wins
Str Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2017WDEC 2017WMAY 2018WJUL 2018WAPR 2019WDEC 2020WJUN 2021WOCT 2021WAUG 2022WMAY 2024WOCT 2024LMAR 2025LAUG 2025WMAR 2026WAUG 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 76, SUB R1.
  5. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2020, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  10. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  13. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  14. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  15. Start, AUG 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Souza), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/14 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
43%
1
7%
-
-
-
7
total
SUB
3
21%
1
7%
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
2
14%
-
1
7%
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
21%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Tobet Top Team
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVYSUB GRAPPLINGCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
14 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Bruno LopesAug 8, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 4:59
UFC Fight Night 284 - Gamrot vs. Salkilld
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Rafael TobiasMar 7, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 326 - Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
SubmissionR1 · 2:45
UFC Fight Night 257 - Walker vs. Zhang
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Ezekiel Choke)
L
SubmissionR2 · 1:28
UFC Fight Night 254 - Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Bartosz SzewczykOct 1, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 3:32
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2024: Week 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Emiliano SordiMay 18, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 4:17
UAE Warriors 50 - AlQaisi vs. Bark
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Konstantin AndreitsevAug 21, 2022
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Eagle FC 50 - Nurgozhay vs. Andreitsev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Magomed MagomedovOct 17, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
EFC 42 - Eagle Fighting Championship 42
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Sergio SouzaJun 18, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 0:52
EFC 37 - Eagle Fighting Championship 37
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Sergey BaryshevDec 4, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 0:27
EFC 30 - Eagle Fighting Championship 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Abbosbek UsarovApr 30, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 1:06
Alash Pride FC - Fortress and Friendship of People
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Amhad DzhanchuraevJul 28, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 0:19
Alash Pride FC - Alash Pride
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Heel Hook)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 11-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28