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// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Rafael Tobias
// FIGHTER_DOSSIER · ENTITY_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Rafael
Tobias

// CALLSIGN"Bipolar"·BRAZIL
// PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-2-0
// CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
// CURRENT CAMP
UNRESOLVED
// NEXT_ASSIGNMENT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Rafael Tobias
// SUBJECT_-
BRA🇧🇷
// LIVE_FEED
REC_-
// CONFIDENCE! LIVE
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
23
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
// PRO_RECORD_
SAMPLE · 16 bouts
WIN
14
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
// WIN_RATE
88%
14/16 bouts
// FINISH_RATE
79%
ELITE TIER
// L5 FORM1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
// FIGHTER_INTEL_
CONFIDENCE: LIVE
// STYLE_ARCHETYPE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 43% of wins are by sub.

// HOW_WIN

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

// VULNERABILITY

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.98
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
31%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.98
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
15.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
15.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 6
DEC · 3
5
KO/TKO
36%
6
SUB
43%
3
DEC
21%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
79% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
36%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
43%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
21%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
0 OBSERVED0 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
NOT RECORDED
// PROFILE UPDATED
NOT RECORDED
// RECORDED SOURCE
NOT RECORDED
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER51TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING38CARDIO68AGGRESSION40SUB THREAT71STR DEFENSE30RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
—UNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power51
NOT ON FILE

TD Defense20
NOT ON FILE

Grappling60
NOT ON FILE

Chin80
NOT ON FILE

Striking38
NOT ON FILE

Cardio68
NOT ON FILE

Aggression40
NOT ON FILE

Sub Threat71
NOT ON FILE

Str Defense30
NOT ON FILE

Recovery100
NOT ON FILE

Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power51 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
TD Defense20 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Grappling60 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Chin80 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Striking38 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Aggression40 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Sub Threat71 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Str Defense30 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Recovery100 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2022WMAR 2022WAPR 2022WJUL 2022WAUG 2022WSEP 2022WOCT 2022WMAR 2023WAPR 2023LJUL 2023WNOV 2023WAPR 2024WAPR 2024WAUG 2024WAPR 2025WSEP 2025LMAR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  5. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  6. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, OCT 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, APR 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, APR 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, AUG 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, APR 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Oliveira), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
16/16 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
25%
2
13%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
5
31%
1
6%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
4
25%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 16 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
25%, fights rarely go the distance
// CAMP_PASSPORT · 07_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Chute Boxe Monstro
VIEW GYM DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVYSUB GRAPPLING

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No canonical partner links are available for this camp record.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
16 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Diyar NurgozhayMar 7, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 326 - Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jair de OliveiraSep 23, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 3:46
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2025: Week 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Wellington Silva LopesApr 12, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 0:00
TKO Palmas - TKO Palmasnet 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Leg Kicks)
W
VS Marcelo NunezAug 1, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 1:10
FFC 79 - Cannetti vs. Vacacela
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Willyanedson PaivaApr 21, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FMS - Fight Music Show: Fight Night 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Guilherme Lopes CunhaApr 6, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 1:11
Fighter Stars - Fighter Stars 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Luis Andrade de OliveiraNov 9, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 2:03
Castro Fight - Castro Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Miguel PortoJul 7, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 2:02
LFA 162 - Conceicao vs. Lopes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Diego FrigottoApr 15, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 2:08
Spartacus MMA - Arnold Fest South America
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Rick MartinMar 25, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 4:00
Spartacus MMA - Spartacus Fight Event 34
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Nathan OliveiraOct 29, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Spartacus MMA - Spartacus Fight Event 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alexandre BorgesSep 10, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 2:37
Spartacus MMA - Spartacus Fight Event 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Direct lifts derived from this dossier. Designed to be quotable in writeups, search-engine snippets, or model context windows.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 14-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-07-28