// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Donald Cerrone
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Donald
Cerrone

NICKNAME"Cowboy"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
36-17-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Donald Cerrone
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
43
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
55 BOUTS
WIN
36
LOSS
17
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
68%
36/55 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 0-4
LL-LL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 47% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.41
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.48
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.16
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
73%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#28
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1612
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
82nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1606 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
2nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.37 per fight)

49 rated fights · opponents rated in 92% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 2, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (36)
n = 36
KO/TKO · 10
SUB · 17
DEC · 9
10
KO/TKO
28%
17
SUB
47%
9
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (17)
n = 17
KO/TKO · 8
SUB · 2
DEC · 7
8
KO/TKO
47%
2
SUB
12%
7
DEC
41%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 10 fights
28%
SUBANY ROUND · 17 fights
47%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
55 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER40TD DEFENSE73GRAPPLING60CHIN70STRIKING57CARDIO67AGGRESSION43SUB THREAT60STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY56
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power40
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=36 wins
TD Defense73
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (73%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin70
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=53 bouts
Striking57
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio67
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression43
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery56
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=17 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins36 wins
TD Defense73 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (73%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record53 bouts
Striking57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.17 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2006WFEB 2006WFEB 2006WJUN 2006WSEP 2006WFEB 2007WAPR 2007WJUN 2007SEP 2007WJUN 2008WNOV 2008LJAN 2009WJUN 2009LOCT 2009WDEC 2009LAPR 2010WSEP 2010WDEC 2010WFEB 2011WJUN 2011WAUG 2011WOCT 2011LDEC 2011WMAY 2012WAUG 2012LJAN 2013WMAY 2013LAUG 2013WNOV 2013WJAN 2014WAPR 2014WJUL 2014WSEP 2014WJAN 2015WJAN 2015WMAY 2015LDEC 2015WFEB 2016WJUN 2016WAUG 2016WDEC 2016LJAN 2017LJUL 2017LOCT 2017WFEB 2018LJUN 2018WNOV 2018WJAN 2019WMAY 2019LJUN 2019LSEP 2019LJAN 2020LMAY 2020SEP 2020LMAY 2021LJUL 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 94, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  9. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 100.
  10. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  13. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  15. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  16. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  17. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  19. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  20. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  23. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  24. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  25. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  28. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  29. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  30. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  32. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  33. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  35. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  36. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  37. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  39. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  40. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  41. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  42. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  43. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  44. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  45. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  46. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 80, DEC R5.
  47. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  48. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  49. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  50. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  51. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  52. Start, JAN 2020, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  53. Start, MAY 2020, momentum score 66, DEC R3.
  54. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 66.
  55. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 57, KO/TKO R1.
  56. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 50, SUB R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Njokuani), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 50.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
53/55 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
19%
6
11%
2
4%
-
-
18
total
SUB
12
23%
6
11%
1
2%
-
-
19
total
DEC
-
-
12
23%
-
4
8%
16
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 16 of 53 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
29%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
55 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Jim MillerJul 2, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 1:32
UFC 276 - Adesanya vs. Cannonier
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Alex MoronoMay 8, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 4:40
UFC on ESPN 24 - Rodriguez vs. Waterson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
D
VS Niko PriceSep 19, 2020
No ContestR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 178 - Covington vs. Woodley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Overturned)
L
VS Anthony PettisMay 9, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 249 - Ferguson vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Conor McGregorJan 18, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 0:40
UFC 246 - McGregor vs. Cerrone
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS Justin GaethjeSep 14, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 4:18
UFC Fight Night 158 - Cowboy vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Tony FergusonJun 8, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
UFC 238 - Cejudo vs. Moraes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Al IaquintaMay 4, 2019
DecisionR5 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 151 - Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alexander HernandezJan 19, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 3:42
UFC Fight Night 143 - Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Mike PerryNov 10, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 4:46
UFC Fight Night 139 - Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Leon EdwardsJun 23, 2018
DecisionR5 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 132 - Cerrone vs. Edwards
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Yancy MedeirosFeb 18, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 4:58
UFC Fight Night 126 - Cerrone vs. Medeiros
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 36-17 (2 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Donald Cerrone

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Donald CerroneUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28