// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Alexander Hernandez
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0LIGHTWEIGHT

Alexander
Hernandez

NICKNAME"El Gran Chango"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-9-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
The Boys
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Alexander Hernandez
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
34
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
27 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
18/27 bouts
FINISH RATE
58%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.24
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.40
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
68%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.10
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#27
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1599
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
85th
percentile · average opponent rated 1594 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
75th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.19 per fight)

22 rated fights · opponents rated in 79% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 3, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 2
DEC · 8
9
KO/TKO
50%
2
SUB
11%
8
DEC
44%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 2
DEC · 5
3
KO/TKO
33%
2
SUB
22%
5
DEC
56%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
58% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
50%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
11%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
44%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
29 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER71TD DEFENSE62GRAPPLING40CHIN75STRIKING47CARDIO70AGGRESSION39SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY70
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power71
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (68%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin75
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=27 bouts
Striking47
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio70
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression39
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery70
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (68%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record27 bouts
Striking47 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression39 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2012WOCT 2012WMAR 2013LJUN 2013WSEP 2013WSEP 2014WJAN 2015WSEP 2015WJUL 2016WNOV 2017WMAR 2018WJUL 2018LJAN 2019WJUL 2019LMAY 2020WOCT 2020LFEB 2021WOCT 2021LFEB 2022LFEB 2022LDEC 2022WFEB 2023LOCT 2023LAPR 2024WOCT 2024WMAR 2025WAUG 2025WSEP 2025LAPR 2026WOCT 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 56, DEC R3.
  5. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 63, DEC R3.
  6. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 80, DEC R3.
  8. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  11. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  14. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, MAY 2020, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  20. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  21. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  24. Start, APR 2024, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  25. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  26. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  27. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  28. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  29. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  30. Start, OCT 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Pecero), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
29/29 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
21%
5
17%
1
3%
-
-
12
total
SUB
2
7%
2
7%
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
13
45%
-
-
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 29 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
45%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
The Boys
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
29 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Rafa GarciaApr 25, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 274 - Sterling vs. Zalal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Diego FerreiraSep 13, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 3:46
UFC Fight Night 259 - Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Chase HooperAug 16, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:58
UFC 319 - Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kurt HolobaughMar 15, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 254 - Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 307 - Pereira vs. Rountree
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Damon JacksonApr 6, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 240 - Allen vs. Curtis 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Bill AlgeoOct 7, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 229 - Dawson vs. Green
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jim MillerFeb 18, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 219 - Andrade vs. Blanchfield
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR2 · 4:30
UFC 282 - Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Punches)
L
VS Renato MoicanoFeb 12, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 1:23
UFC 271 - Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Renato CarneiroFeb 12, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 1:23
UFC 271 - Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 18-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27