// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Rafa Garcia
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Rafa
Garcia

NICKNAME"Gifted"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
19-5-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Bloodline Combat Sports
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Rafa Garcia
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'7"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
32
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
24 BOUTS
WIN
19
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
79%
19/24 bouts
FINISH RATE
53%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
LWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 47% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.33
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
43%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.68
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.02
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
41%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
77%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#16
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1617
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
79th
percentile · average opponent rated 1582 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
54th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.07 per fight)

19 rated fights · opponents rated in 79% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 12, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 8
DEC · 9
2
KO/TKO
11%
8
SUB
42%
9
DEC
47%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
20%
0
SUB
0%
4
DEC
80%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
53% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
11%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
42%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
47%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE82GRAPPLING60CHIN83STRIKING52CARDIO74AGGRESSION62SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE67RECOVERY75
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=19 wins
TD Defense82
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (77%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=24 bouts
Striking52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio74
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression62
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (60%)

Recovery75
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins19 wins
TD Defense82 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (77%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record24 bouts
Striking52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Recovery75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2014WOCT 2014WJUL 2015WAUG 2015WDEC 2016WJAN 2017WSEP 2017WAPR 2018WSEP 2018WFEB 2019WJUN 2019WSEP 2019WFEB 2020LMAR 2021LJUL 2021WNOV 2021WAPR 2022LJUL 2022WDEC 2022WAPR 2023LOCT 2024WMAR 2025WSEP 2025WAPR 2026LSEP 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 72, DEC R1.
  5. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 91, SUB R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  8. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  11. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  13. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  15. Start, JUL 2021, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  16. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  18. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  24. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  25. Start, SEP 2026, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Bonilla), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
4%
1
4%
1
4%
-
-
3
total
SUB
5
21%
3
13%
-
-
-
8
total
DEC
1
4%
-
11
46%
-
1
4%
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
54%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Bloodline Combat Sports
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVY

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Zhu RongSep 12, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 288 - Noche UFC 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 274 - Sterling vs. Zalal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jared GordonSep 13, 2025
KO/TKOR3 · 2:27
UFC Fight Night 259 - Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
W
VS Vinc PichelMar 29, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 64 - Moreno vs. Erceg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Grant DawsonOct 12, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 1:42
UFC Fight Night 244 - Royval vs. Taira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Clay GuidaApr 15, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 44 - Holloway vs. Allen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Maheshate HayisaerDec 17, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 216 - Cannonier vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Drakkar KloseJul 30, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 277 - Pena vs. Nunes 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jesse RonsonApr 16, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 4:50
UFC on ESPN 34 - Luque vs. Muhammad 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Natan LevyNov 20, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 198 - Vieira vs. Tate
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 28 - Hall vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 187 - Edwards vs. Muhammad
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 19-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27