// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Renato Moicano
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #8STOCK +1LIGHTWEIGHT

Renato
Moicano

NICKNAME"N/A"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
21-7-1
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
American Top Team
NEXT FIGHT
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
OCTOBER 31, 2026 · MAIN EVENT
Renato Moicano
FIGHTER 008
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
37
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
29 BOUTS
WIN
21
LOSS
7
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
72%
21/29 bouts
FINISH RATE
62%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 3-2
WWLLW
Form trend +1 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 52% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.10
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
49%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.55
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.68
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
64%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#11
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1635
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
92nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1628 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
71st
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.17 per fight)

22 rated fights · opponents rated in 73% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 4, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (21)
n = 21
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 11
DEC · 8
2
KO/TKO
10%
11
SUB
52%
8
DEC
38%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
3
KO/TKO
43%
2
SUB
29%
2
DEC
29%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
62% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
10%
SUBANY ROUND · 11 fights
52%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
38%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
29 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE53GRAPPLING60CHIN76STRIKING58CARDIO71AGGRESSION43SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY71
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=21 wins
TD Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (64%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin76
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=29 bouts
Striking58
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression43
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery71
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins21 wins
TD Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (64%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record29 bouts
Striking58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2010WMAR 2010WJUL 2010WDEC 2010WFEB 2011WJUN 2011NOV 2012WAPR 2013WJUL 2013WJUL 2014WDEC 2014WMAY 2016WAPR 2017LJUL 2017WAPR 2018WAUG 2018LFEB 2019LJUN 2019WMAR 2020LDEC 2020WJUN 2021WFEB 2022LMAR 2022WNOV 2022WFEB 2024WAPR 2024WSEP 2024LJAN 2025LJUN 2025WAPR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 55, SUB R3.
  3. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  4. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 72, SUB R2.
  5. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  6. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  7. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 86.
  8. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 95, SUB R2.
  9. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  15. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  18. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, MAR 2020, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2020, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  22. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  23. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  24. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  25. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, APR 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  27. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, JAN 2025, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  29. Start, JUN 2025, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  30. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 96, SUB R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Pereira), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 96.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
28/29 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
7%
3
11%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
5
18%
6
21%
2
7%
-
-
13
total
DEC
-
-
9
32%
-
1
4%
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 28 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
34%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
American Top Team
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
29 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Chris DuncanApr 4, 2026
SubmissionR2 · 3:14
UFC Fight Night 272 - Moicano vs. Duncan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Face Crank)
L
VS Beneil DariushJun 28, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 317 - Topuria vs. Oliveira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Islam MakhachevJan 18, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 4:05
UFC 311 - Makhachev vs. Moicano
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
W
VS Benoit St. DenisSep 28, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 243 - Moicano vs. St. Denis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Jalin TurnerApr 13, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 4:11
UFC 300 - Pereira vs. Hill
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Drew DoberFeb 3, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 235 - Dolidze vs. Imavov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Brad RiddellNov 12, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 3:20
UFC 281 - Adesanya vs. Pereira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
DecisionR5 · 5:00
UFC 272 - Covington vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
SubmissionR2 · 1:23
UFC 271 - Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jai HerbertJun 26, 2021
SubmissionR2 · 4:34
UFC Fight Night 190 - Gane vs. Volkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Rafael FizievDec 12, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 4:05
UFC 256 - Figueiredo vs. Moreno
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Damir HadzovicMar 14, 2020
SubmissionR1 · 0:44
UFC Fight Night 170 - Lee vs. Oliveira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 21-7-1. Ranked #8 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Who wins vs Tom Nolan?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27