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// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Chris Duncan
// FIGHTER_DOSSIER · ENTITY_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Chris
Duncan

// CALLSIGN"The Problem"·SCOTLAND
// PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-3-0
// CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
// CURRENT CAMP
UNRESOLVED
// NEXT_ASSIGNMENT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Chris Duncan
// SUBJECT_-
SCO🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
// LIVE_FEED
REC_-
// CONFIDENCE! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
33
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
// PRO_RECORD_
SAMPLE · 18 bouts
WIN
15
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
// WIN_RATE
83%
15/18 bouts
// FINISH_RATE
73%
ELITE TIER
// L5 FORM1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
// FIGHTER_INTEL_
CONFIDENCE: LIVE
// STYLE_ARCHETYPE
BRAWLER

Brawler fighter with no dominant single weapon — 47% of wins are by ko/tko.

// HOW_WIN

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

// VULNERABILITY

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
5.02
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.82
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.27
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
42%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.70
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 4
DEC · 5
7
KO/TKO
47%
4
SUB
27%
5
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
2
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
47%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
27%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
0 OBSERVED0 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
NOT RECORDED
// PROFILE UPDATED
NOT RECORDED
// RECORDED SOURCE
NOT RECORDED
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER67TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING63CARDIO70AGGRESSION76SUB THREAT44STR DEFENSE30RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
—UNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power67
NOT ON FILE

TD Defense22
NOT ON FILE

Grappling60
NOT ON FILE

Chin80
NOT ON FILE

Striking63
NOT ON FILE

Cardio70
NOT ON FILE

Aggression76
NOT ON FILE

Sub Threat44
NOT ON FILE

Str Defense30
NOT ON FILE

Recovery100
NOT ON FILE

Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power67 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
TD Defense22 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Grappling60 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Chin80 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Striking63 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Aggression76 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Sub Threat44 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Str Defense30 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Recovery100 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2018WAPR 2018WJUN 2018WNOV 2018WFEB 2019WAUG 2019WFEB 2020WOCT 2020LOCT 2021WFEB 2022WAUG 2022WMAR 2023WJUL 2023LFEB 2024WSEP 2024WMAR 2025WAUG 2025WAUG 2025WDEC 2025LAPR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  3. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R3.
  4. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  8. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  15. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  17. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, DEC 2025, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 93, SUB R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Piskorz), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
19/19 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
21%
3
16%
1
5%
-
-
8
total
SUB
3
16%
3
16%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
5
26%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 19 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
26%, fights rarely go the distance
// CAMP_PASSPORT · 07_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
American Top Team
VIEW GYM DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRSTWRESTLING-HEAVY

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No canonical partner links are available for this camp record.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
19 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Renato CarneiroApr 4, 2026
SubmissionR2 · 3:14
UFC Fight Night 272 - Moicano vs. Duncan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Face Crank)
W
VS Terrance McKinneyDec 6, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 2:30
UFC 323 - Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Anaconda Choke)
W
VS Mateusz RębeckiAug 2, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 71 - Taira vs. Park
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mateusz RebeckiAug 2, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 71 - Taira vs. Park
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jordan VucenicMar 22, 2025
SubmissionR2 · 3:42
UFC Fight Night 255 - Edwards vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Bolaji OkiSep 28, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 3:34
UFC Fight Night 243 - Moicano vs. St. Denis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Manuel TorresFeb 24, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 1:46
UFC Fight Night 237 - Moreno vs. Royval 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Yanal AshmouzJul 22, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 224 - Aspinall vs. Tybura
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Omar MoralesMar 18, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 286 - Edwards vs. Usman 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Charlie CampbellAug 2, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 1:43
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Jonathan CarlosFeb 5, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFL 8 - Ultimate Fight League 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Viacheslav BorshchevOct 12, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 0:28
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2021: Week 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Direct lifts derived from this dossier. Designed to be quotable in writeups, search-engine snippets, or model context windows.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-07-28