// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Drew Dober
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0LIGHTWEIGHT

Drew
Dober

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
30-16-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Elevation Fight Team - Denver, CO
NEXT FIGHT
VSChris Duncan
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
NOVEMBER 14, 2026
Drew Dober
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
38
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
47 BOUTS
WIN
30
LOSS
16
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
65%
30/47 bouts
FINISH RATE
73%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 2-3
LLLWW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 57% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.48
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.33
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.61
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
16%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
58%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.10
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#19
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1611
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
43rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1540 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
40th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.01 per fight)

42 rated fights · opponents rated in 91% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 7, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (30)
n = 30
KO/TKO · 17
SUB · 5
DEC · 8
17
KO/TKO
57%
5
SUB
17%
8
DEC
27%
// LOSSES (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 4
DEC · 9
4
KO/TKO
25%
4
SUB
25%
9
DEC
56%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 17 fights
57%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
17%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
27%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
48 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER81TD DEFENSE40GRAPPLING60CHIN78STRIKING50CARDIO67AGGRESSION38SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY65
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power81
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=30 wins
TD Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (58%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin78
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=46 bouts
Striking50
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio67
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression38
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery65
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=17 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins30 wins
TD Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record46 bouts
Striking50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression38 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.17 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2009WJUL 2009LSEP 2009LNOV 2009WAPR 2010WJUL 2010WNOV 2010WDEC 2010WJAN 2011WJAN 2011LAPR 2011WJUL 2011WNOV 2011LMAR 2012WAPR 2012LAUG 2012WDEC 2012WJAN 2013WMAR 2013WJUL 2013WOCT 2013LNOV 2013LMAY 2014WDEC 2014MAR 2015LJUN 2015WJAN 2016WSEP 2016LDEC 2016WJUL 2017WJAN 2018WAUG 2018LMAR 2019WJUN 2019WJAN 2020WMAY 2020LMAR 2021LJUN 2021WMAR 2022WJUL 2022WDEC 2022LMAY 2023WOCT 2023LFEB 2024LFEB 2024LJUL 2024LMAR 2025WOCT 2025WMAR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 47, DEC R3.
  4. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 40, DEC R3.
  5. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 50, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 59, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  10. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  11. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  13. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R2.
  14. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 90, DEC R1.
  15. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  16. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  21. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  24. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  25. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 96.
  26. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  27. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  28. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  30. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  32. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  34. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  35. Start, JAN 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  36. Start, MAY 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  37. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  38. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  39. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  40. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  41. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  42. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  43. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  44. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  45. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  46. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R3.
  47. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.
  48. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R3.
  49. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Worthington), bottomed at 40 (L vs Girtz). Current reading: 87.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
47/48 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
9
19%
7
15%
5
11%
-
-
21
total
SUB
5
11%
3
6%
1
2%
-
-
9
total
DEC
1
2%
-
16
34%
-
-
17
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 16 of 47 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
35%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Elevation Fight Team - Denver, CO
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
48 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Michael JohnsonMar 7, 2026
KO/TKOR2 · 1:53
UFC 326 - Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Kyle PrepolecOct 18, 2025
KO/TKOR3 · 1:16
UFC Fight Night 262 - De Ridder vs. Allen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Punches)
L
VS Manuel TorresMar 29, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 1:45
UFC on ESPN 64 - Moreno vs. Erceg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Jean SilvaJul 13, 2024
KO/TKOR3 · 1:28
UFC on ESPN 59 - Namajunas vs. Cortez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
VS Renato CarneiroFeb 3, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 235 - Dolidze vs. Imavov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Renato MoicanoFeb 3, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 235 - Dolidze vs. Imavov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ricky GlennOct 7, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 2:36
UFC Fight Night 229 - Dawson vs. Green
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Matt FrevolaMay 6, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 4:08
UFC 288 - Sterling vs. Cejudo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS King GreenDec 17, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 2:45
UFC Fight Night 216 - Cannonier vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Rafael AlvesJul 30, 2022
KO/TKOR3 · 1:30
UFC 277 - Pena vs. Nunes 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch to the Body)
W
VS Terrance McKinneyMar 12, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 3:17
UFC Fight Night 203 - Santos vs. Ankalaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee and Punches)
L
VS Brad RiddellJun 12, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 263 - Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 30-16 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Drew Dober

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Drew DoberUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Who wins vs Chris Duncan?
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27