// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Ernest Chavez
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Ernest
Chavez

NICKNAME"EJ"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-2-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Ernest Chavez
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
43
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
83%
10/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-2
WLLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.79
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.89
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.89
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#62
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1541
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
9th
percentile · average opponent rated 1507 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
65th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.12 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 64% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 30, 2015

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 5
DEC · 5
5
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
5
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
1
KO/TKO
50%
1
SUB
50%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER71TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING16CHIN78STRIKING32CARDIO71AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Grappling.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power71
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling16
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin78
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
Striking32
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=12 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling16 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
Striking32 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share12 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2009WJUN 2009WAUG 2010WMAY 2011WNOV 2011WOCT 2012WMAR 2013WMAY 2013WFEB 2014LMAY 2014LOCT 2014WOCT 2015WDEC 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 80, DEC R3.
  6. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 87, DEC R3.
  7. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 98, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  9. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 94, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Valdez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
42%
-
1
8%
-
-
6
total
SUB
-
-
1
8%
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
-
5
42%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
42%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Adam TownsendDec 11, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFA 33 - Townsend vs. Chavez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Justin BuchholzOct 30, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 3:22
TWC 23 - Halloween Havoc 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 4:21
UFC Fight Night 53 - Nelson vs. Story
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Elias SilverioMay 31, 2014
SubmissionR3 · 4:21
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Yosdenis CedenoFeb 22, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 170 - Rousey vs. McMann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Jorge ValdezMay 31, 2013
KO/TKOR3 · 4:00
BAMMA USA - Badbeat 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Tom GloudemanMar 15, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 1:21
BAMMA USA - Badbeat 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Josh SmithOct 4, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FCOC - Fight Club OC
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 3:00
LBFN 13 - Long Beach Fight Night 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Xavier StokesMay 19, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 2:43
Fight Club OC - Night at the Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Brandon JinniesAug 5, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 0:44
BITB - Battle in the Ballroom
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Dionisio RamirezJun 13, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Apocalypse Fights 4 - War
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 10-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28