// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Joshua Smith
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Joshua
Smith

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
2-2-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Joshua Smith
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LOW SAMPLE
HEIGHT
6'0"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
4 BOUTS
WIN
2
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
2/4 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LOW SAMPLE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 150% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.73
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.40
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
57%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
2.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#91
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1400
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1494 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.20 per fight)

27 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 22, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
50%
3
SUB
150%
3
DEC
150%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 4
DEC · 4
2
KO/TKO
100%
4
SUB
200%
4
DEC
200%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
50%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
150%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
150%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 10, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER71TD DEFENSE38GRAPPLING40CHIN58STRIKING20CARDIO67AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY44
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power71
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=2 wins
TD Defense38
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (57%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin58
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=4 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio67
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (2 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery44
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins2 wins
TD Defense38 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record4 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery44 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2004WSEP 2004WMAR 2005LJUL 2005LAPR 2008WNOV 2009LMAR 2010WMAY 2010LAUG 2010WAPR 2012LOCT 2012LAPR 2014LSEP 2015WAPR 2021WOCT 2021LMAY 2023LJUN 2024LFEB 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, MAR 2005, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  5. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 51, DEC R5.
  6. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  9. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 51, DEC R3.
  10. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 51, DEC R3.
  12. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 44, SUB R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 37, DEC R3.
  14. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 47, SUB R2.
  15. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 54, DEC R3.
  16. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 47, SUB R1.
  17. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 37, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 30, SUB R1.

Peaked at 65 (W vs Toliver), bottomed at 30 (L vs Miller). Current reading: 30.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
17/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
18%
-
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
6
35%
1
6%
-
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
6
35%
-
1
6%
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 17 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
41%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Mo MillerFeb 22, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 3:49
AFP 101 - American Fight Promotions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Tony LaramieJun 8, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 0:25
BTC 24 - Apex
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
SubmissionR1 · 2:21
XMMA 6 - Bash at the Beach
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Kyle EstradaOct 23, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
XMMA 3 - Vice City
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dinis PaivaApr 30, 2021
SubmissionR2 · 4:01
CES MMA 62 - Orlando
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Kevin GraySep 18, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFA 30 - Smith vs. Jardine
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
SubmissionR1 · 3:50
Bellator MMA - Bellator 116
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Ernest ChavezOct 4, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FCOC - Fight Club OC
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Emilio ChavezApr 14, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FCOC - Fight Club OC
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Sean SpencerAug 20, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
KOK 9 - Resurrection
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Donyiell WinrowMay 20, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Lamont StaffordMar 27, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 2:11
FCF - Freestyle Cage Fighting 40
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 2-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28