// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Gunnar Nelson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Gunnar
Nelson

NICKNAME"Gunni"·ICELAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
19-6-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Gunnar Nelson
FIGHTER -
ICE
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
38
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
26 BOUTS
WIN
19
LOSS
6
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
73%
19/26 bouts
FINISH RATE
89%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
LLWWL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 68% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.77
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
61%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.06
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
48%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
68%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 98 other rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#33
of 99 on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1592
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
69th
percentile · average opponent rated 1583 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
31st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.08 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 22, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 13
DEC · 2
4
KO/TKO
21%
13
SUB
68%
2
DEC
11%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 5
1
KO/TKO
17%
0
SUB
0%
5
DEC
83%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
89% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
21%
SUBANY ROUND · 13 fights
68%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
11%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
26 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER30TD DEFENSE62GRAPPLING60CHIN83STRIKING52CARDIO61AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT50STR DEFENSE40RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power30
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=19 wins
TD Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (68%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=26 bouts
Striking52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat50
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1 per 15 min)

Str Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (48%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins19 wins
TD Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (68%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record26 bouts
Striking52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat50 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (48%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2007MAY 2007WSEP 2007WOCT 2007WNOV 2007WDEC 2007WSEP 2008WFEB 2010WAUG 2010WSEP 2010WFEB 2012WSEP 2012WFEB 2013WMAR 2014WJUL 2014LOCT 2014WJUL 2015LDEC 2015WMAY 2016WMAR 2017LJUL 2017WDEC 2018LMAR 2019LSEP 2019WMAR 2022WMAR 2023LMAR 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 45.
  3. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  4. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R2.
  8. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  16. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  17. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  20. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  21. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  23. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  24. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  25. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  27. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Elsdon), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
25/26 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
16%
1
4%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
9
36%
4
16%
-
-
-
13
total
DEC
-
-
6
24%
-
1
4%
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 25 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
27%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
26 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Kevin HollandMar 22, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 255 - Edwards vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Bryan BarberenaMar 18, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 4:51
UFC 286 - Edwards vs. Usman 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Takashi SatoMar 19, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 204 - Volkov vs. Aspinall
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Gilbert BurnsSep 28, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 160 - Hermansson vs. Cannonier
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Leon EdwardsMar 16, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 147 - Till vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Alex OliveiraDec 8, 2018
SubmissionR2 · 4:19
UFC 231 - Holloway vs. Ortega
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Santiago PonzinibbioJul 16, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 1:22
UFC Fight Night 113 - Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Alan JoubanMar 18, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 0:46
UFC Fight Night 107 - Manuwa vs. Anderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Albert TumenovMay 8, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 3:15
UFC Fight Night 87 - Overeem vs. Arlovski
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Neck Crank)
L
VS Demian MaiaDec 12, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Brandon ThatchJul 11, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 2:54
UFC 189 - Mendes vs. McGregor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Rick StoryOct 4, 2014
DecisionR5 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 53 - Nelson vs. Story
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 19-6-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28